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[Recycled PET Morning Briefing] Recycled PET Bottle Chip Market Expected to Weaken in Short-Term Adjustment

Longzhong 2025-09-23 09:25:57

I. Focus Points

1. Market concerns over OPEC+ increasing production leading to a supply surplus have overshadowed the impact of geopolitical instability, resulting in a decline in international oil prices.

"The peak season for textiles, known as 'Golden September and Silver October,' is approaching, but the actual order support is limited, leading to a decline in weaving operating rates."

Core logic: Focus on weather and terminal load changes.

II. Price List

	9 19th of the month	9 22nd of the month	Rate of increase or decrease
ICE Brent crude oil	66.68	66.57	-0.16%
PX	815.67	808.33	-0.90%
PTA	4555.00	4515.00	-0.88%
MEG	4352.00	4342.00	-0.23%
Semi-transparent slice	5730.00	5710.00	-0.35%
Jiangsu and Zhejiang polyester staple fiber	6425.00	6420.00	-0.08%
Eastern China Upper Machine White Sheet	4750.00	4750.00	0.00%
Playing Hollow	6150.00	6150.00	0.00%
1.4D High Strength Low Elongation Imitation Large Polyester from Jiangsu	5675.00	5675.00	0.00%
Note: 1. Related products PTA, PX, and MEG use international premium grades; polyester staple fiber is selected as semi-dull 1.56*38MM; recycled hollow fiber is selected as three-dimensional 7D with silicon. Note: Recycled regular fiber uses Jiangsu 1.4D high-strength low-shrinkage imitation bright white; recycled hollow fiber uses three-dimensional 7D siliconized. 2. Crude oil is measured in USD/barrel, naphtha CFR Japan and PX CFR China are measured in USD/ton, and the other three products are priced in RMB, measured in RMB/ton. The prices in the above table for RMB are cash prices for recycled PET bottle flakes, while the others are self-extracted exchange prices inclusive of tax. The two prices for the period are the point prices from the two working weeks prior to this week, not the weekly average. 5. The rate of increase or decrease is the rate of change compared to the previous period.

Three 、 Market Outlook

The support for polyester raw materials is insufficient, and the expectations for both virgin fibers and new materials are weak. There is a possibility of continued narrowing between new and recycled materials, putting pressure on the sentiment of the recycling market. The support from end-user demand is quite limited, and the production and sales of recycled fiber factories are under pressure. With a cost-control mindset, there is a strong inclination to press down on raw material procurement prices. However, as the weather cools in autumn, the collection of used bottles gradually decreases, making it difficult for packaging stations and cleaning factories to procure materials, leading them to hold firm on prices and be reluctant to sell. Amid the supply-demand game, the short-term outlook for the recycled PET bottle chip market is expected to be weak and undergo consolidation.

Four. Data Calendar

Data	Release Date	Last period data	Forecast for this period's trend
Polyester chip production and sales rate	Weekday 16:00	55.31%	↘
Recycled bottle chip capacity utilization rate	Thursday 16:00	45.4%	↗
Recycled Bottle Chip Factory Inventory	Thursday 16:00	6.6	↘
Chemical fiber weaving operating rate	Thursday 16:00	62.19%	↘

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[Recycled PET Morning Briefing] Recycled PET Bottle Chip Market Expected to Weaken in Short-Term Adjustment

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