Search History
Clear
Trending Searches
Refresh
avatar
【PP Morning Update】Cost support strengthens, polypropylene market expected to remain range-bound today
Longzhong 2025-04-01 08:33:15

One, Focus Areas

1 3/31: The United States indicated that it does not rule out the option of taking military action against Iran, and the market is concerned about the enhanced potential supply risks, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEXCrude oil futuresThe May contract for WTI crude oil increased by $2.12 to $71.48 per barrel, representing a growth of 3.06%; the ICE Brent crude oil futures contract for May rose by $1.11 to $74.74 per barrel, representing a growth of 1.51%. The main contract for China's INE crude oil futures (May 2505) fell by 4.3 to 537.4 yuan per barrel, but rose by 16.5 to 553.9 yuan per barrel during the night session.

2 Acrylic FOB Korea is $800/ton, CFR China is $825/ton.

3 In March 2025, China's total polypropylene production reached 33.227 million tons, an increase of 3.366 million tons compared to 29.861 million tons in February, with a month-on-month increase of 11.27%.

4、 3/31 domestic PP Maintenance Device Change Details: Zhejiang Petrochemical's 450,000 tons/year PP unit has resumed operation. Langang Petrochemical's 110,000 tons/year PP unit has restarted. Yangzi Petrochemical's Line A (100,000 tons/year) PP unit has been shut down for maintenance.

Core logic: Enhanced cost support, increased recent maintenance, and eased supply pressure.

II. Price List Form

product

Category

3 June 28th

3 May 31st

Price Change Percentage

unit

Crude oil

NYMEX

69.36

71.48

+2.12

USD/BBL

ICE Pour oil

73.63

74.74

+1.11

USD/barrel

Propylene

Domestic propylene

6675

6650

-25

Yuan per ton

Methanol

Domestic methanol

2510

2485

-25

yuan/ton

PP main futures contract

Closing Price

7339

7313

-26

yuan/ton

Mainstream price of wire drawing

Zibo

7295

7295

0

yuan/ton

Ningbo

7369

7354

-15

Yuan/ton

Guangzhou

7428

7426

-2

Yuan/ton

Related Products

PP powder

7200

7150

-50

Yuan/ton

PE

8068

8065

-3

yuan/ton

Note: Translate the above content from Chinese to English and output the translation result directly without any explanation

  1 The above RMB prices are all inclusive of tax at the current exchange rate.

  2 The two-period price refers to the point-in-time prices from the two previous business weeks before this week, not the weekly average price.

  3 The涨跌幅is the环比change幅度.

Three, Market Outlook

International crude oil prices have risen, enhancing cost support. Recently, there has been a concentrated maintenance of polypropylene facilities, coupled with no new capacity coming online, which has somewhat alleviated supply pressure. Under the constraint of overseas tariff policies, the demand for downstream product orders is cautious, and market sentiment is wary. It is expected that the polypropylene market will stabilize within a range today, with the mainstream price for drawing in East China being 7,280-7,450 yuan/ton.

IV. Data Calendar

Data Project

Release Date

Last period data

This period's trend is expected

Unit

PP Total inventory

Wednesday 16:30 PM

85.86

Ten thousand tons

PP Production enterprise capacity utilization rate

Thursday 16:30PM

76.43%

%

PP Weekly maintenance impact amount

Thursday 4:30 PM

15.612

Ten thousand tons

Domestic PP enterprise total production

Thursday 4:30 PM

73.2

Ten thousand tons

Profit of oil-making PP enterprises

Thursday 16:30PM

-426.21

yuan/ton

Profit of coal-to-PP enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

896

Yuan/ton

PDH PP enterprise profit

Thursday 16:30 PM

-858.14

Yuan/ton

PP Import profit

Thursday 16:30 PM

-324.83

Yuan/ton

PP Export Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

36.15

USD/ton

1 、↓↑ considered as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with price changes exceeding 3%

2 ↗↘ is considered as a narrow range fluctuation, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%.

【Copyright and Disclaimer】The above information is collected and organized by PlastMatch. The copyright belongs to the original author. This article is reprinted for the purpose of providing more information, and it does not imply that PlastMatch endorses the views expressed in the article or guarantees its accuracy. If there are any errors in the source attribution or if your legitimate rights have been infringed, please contact us, and we will promptly correct or remove the content. If other media, websites, or individuals use the aforementioned content, they must clearly indicate the original source and origin of the work and assume legal responsibility on their own.