【PP Morning Tip】Demand performance is not satisfactory, restricting price movements; PP is expected to consolidate within a range.
1. Focus Areas
1 On April 1st, market focus shifted from oil-producing country sanctions to the US tariff increase policy, raising concerns about the drag on demand prospects, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures May contract fell $0.28 to $71.20/barrel, down 0.39% month-on-month; ICE Brent futures June contract fell $0.28 to $74.49/barrel, down 0.37% month-on-month. China's INE crude oil futures main contract 2505 rose 11.6 to 549 yuan/barrel, with the night session up 4.3 to 553.3 yuan/barrel.
2 April 1: Propylene FOB South Korea remains stable at 800 dollars. / ton, CFR China is stable 825 Dollar / Ton.
3 On April 1st: The fifth line (300,000 tons/year) PP unit of Yulong Petrochemical restarted. The PP unit (300,000 tons/year) of Yan'an Energy Chemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The first line (70,000 tons/year) PP unit of Dushanzi Petrochemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The second line (140,000 tons/year) PP unit of Luoyang Petrochemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The first line (500,000 tons/year) PP unit of Inner Mongolia Baofeng underwent shutdown maintenance.
4 According to Longzhong Information on April 1st: The polyolefin inventory of the two oil companies is 800,000 tons, an increase of 70,000 tons compared to yesterday.
Core Logic: Follow-up on new downstream orders is limited, and the market lacks upward momentum. 。
Price List
Product |
Category |
3 May 31st |
4 Month 1st Day |
涨跌幅 Price fluctuation幅度 Translation: Price Fluctuation Range |
unit |
Crude oil |
NYMEX |
71.48 |
71.20 |
-0.28 |
USD/barrel |
ICE Spread oil |
74.74 |
74.49 |
-0.28 |
USD/BBL |
|
Propylene |
Domestic propylene |
6650 |
6650 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
Methanol |
Domestic methanol |
2485 |
2485 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
PP Main Futures Contract |
Closing price |
7313 |
7352 |
+39 |
Yuan per ton |
Mainstream price of wire drawing |
Zibo |
7295 |
7295 |
0 |
yuan/ton |
Ningbo |
7354 |
7361 |
+7 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Guangzhou |
7426 |
7419 |
-7 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Related products |
PP Pink |
7150 |
7180 |
+30 |
Yuan/ton |
PE |
8065 |
8045 |
-20 |
Yuan per ton |
|
Note: |
|||||
1 The above RMB prices are all tax-inclusive spot exchange rates. |
|||||
2 The two-period price refers to the spot prices from the two past working weeks prior to this week, not the weekly average price. |
|||||
3 The increase or decrease is the month-on-month change in amplitude. |
Three, Market Outlook
Four, Data Calendar
Data Project |
Publication Date |
Last Issue Data |
Expected trend this period |
Unit |
PP Total inventory |
Wednesday 16:30PM |
85.86 |
↓ |
10,000 tons |
PP Production enterprise capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
76.43% |
↓ |
% |
PP Weekly Maintenance Impact Quantity |
|
15.612 |
↓ |
Ten thousand tons |
Total Production of PP Enterprises in China |
Thursday at 4:30 PM |
73.2 |
↓ |
ten thousand tons |
Profit of oil-based PP enterprises |
Thursday at 4:30 PM |
-426.21 |
↓ |
Yuan/ton |
Coal-based PP enterprise profits |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
896 |
↑ |
yuan per ton |
PDH Profit of PP manufacturing enterprises |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-858.14 |
↓ |
Yuan per ton |
PP |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-324.83 |
↑ |
Yuan/ton |
PP |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
36.15 |
↑ |
USD/ton |
1 Consider fluctuations of ↑↓ as significant, highlighting data dimensions where the increase or decrease exceeds 3%. 2 、↗↘ are considered narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%. |
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