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【PP Morning Tip】Demand performance is not satisfactory, restricting price movements; PP is expected to consolidate within a range.
Longzhong 2025-04-02 08:41:24

1. Focus Areas

1 On April 1st, market focus shifted from oil-producing country sanctions to the US tariff increase policy, raising concerns about the drag on demand prospects, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures May contract fell $0.28 to $71.20/barrel, down 0.39% month-on-month; ICE Brent futures June contract fell $0.28 to $74.49/barrel, down 0.37% month-on-month. China's INE crude oil futures main contract 2505 rose 11.6 to 549 yuan/barrel, with the night session up 4.3 to 553.3 yuan/barrel.

2 April 1: Propylene FOB South Korea remains stable at 800 dollars. / ton, CFR China is stable 825 Dollar / Ton.

3 On April 1st: The fifth line (300,000 tons/year) PP unit of Yulong Petrochemical restarted. The PP unit (300,000 tons/year) of Yan'an Energy Chemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The first line (70,000 tons/year) PP unit of Dushanzi Petrochemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The second line (140,000 tons/year) PP unit of Luoyang Petrochemical underwent shutdown maintenance. The first line (500,000 tons/year) PP unit of Inner Mongolia Baofeng underwent shutdown maintenance.

4 According to Longzhong Information on April 1st: The polyolefin inventory of the two oil companies is 800,000 tons, an increase of 70,000 tons compared to yesterday.

Core Logic: Follow-up on new downstream orders is limited, and the market lacks upward momentum.

Price List

Product

Category

3 May 31st

4 Month 1st Day

涨跌幅 Price fluctuation幅度 Translation: Price Fluctuation Range

unit

Crude oil

NYMEX

71.48

71.20

-0.28

USD/barrel

ICE Spread oil

74.74

74.49

-0.28

USD/BBL

Propylene

Domestic propylene

6650

6650

0

Yuan/ton

Methanol

Domestic methanol

2485

2485

0

Yuan/ton

PP Main Futures Contract

Closing price

7313

7352

+39

Yuan per ton

Mainstream price of wire drawing

Zibo

7295

7295

0

yuan/ton

Ningbo

7354

7361

+7

Yuan/ton

Guangzhou

7426

7419

-7

Yuan/ton

Related products

PP Pink

7150

7180

+30

Yuan/ton

PE

8065

8045

-20

Yuan per ton

Note:

  1 The above RMB prices are all tax-inclusive spot exchange rates.

  2 The two-period price refers to the spot prices from the two past working weeks prior to this week, not the weekly average price.

  3 The increase or decrease is the month-on-month change in amplitude.

Three, Market Outlook

Four, Data Calendar

Data Project

Publication Date

Last Issue Data

Expected trend this period

Unit

PP Total inventory

Wednesday 16:30PM

85.86

10,000 tons

PP Production enterprise capacity utilization rate

Thursday 4:30 PM

76.43%

%

PP Weekly Maintenance Impact Quantity

15.612

Ten thousand tons

Total Production of PP Enterprises in China

Thursday at 4:30 PM

73.2

ten thousand tons

Profit of oil-based PP enterprises

Thursday at 4:30 PM

-426.21

Yuan/ton

Coal-based PP enterprise profits

Thursday 4:30 PM

896

yuan per ton

PDH Profit of PP manufacturing enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

-858.14

Yuan per ton

PP

Thursday 4:30 PM

-324.83

Yuan/ton

PP

Thursday 4:30 PM

36.15

USD/ton

1 Consider fluctuations of ↑↓ as significant, highlighting data dimensions where the increase or decrease exceeds 3%.

2 、↗↘ are considered narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%.

 

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