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[PET Daily Review] Polyester Bottle Chip Weak and Volatile

Longzhong 2025-08-20 16:30:54

1 Today's Summary

Factory quotations are mostly stable in the morning; in the afternoon, there is a second adjustment, mostly increasing by 30-50. Unit: RMB/ton

②. Today's domestic polyester bottle chip capacity utilization rate is 76.7%.

2 Spot Overview

The spot price of PET bottle-grade polyester chips in the East China region closed at 5900 today, down 20 from the previous working day, in line with the morning forecast.

In the morning, costs fluctuated with weak demand follow-up, leading to a decline in transactions. Around midday, driven by positive macroeconomic factors, costs rebounded. Polyester bottle chip factories raised their offers by 30-50 yuan, but downstream buyers and traders were cautious about chasing the price increase, mostly making rigid replenishments. Transactions were mainly stable compared to the morning. Offers for goods from August to October ranged from 5850 to 6000 yuan/ton; counter offers were between 5850 and 5940 yuan/ton, with transactions primarily for rigid replenishment. (Unit: yuan/ton)

Figure 1: Price Trend Chart of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chips in 2025 (Yuan/Ton)

Figure 2 Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Market Price Trend Chart in 2025 (Yuan/Ton)

          [聚酯瓶片日评]:聚酯瓶片窄幅上涨(20250818)                 

[聚酯瓶片日评]:聚酯瓶片窄幅上涨(20250818)

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Data Source: Longzhong Information

3. Production Dynamics

Today, the capacity utilization rate of polyester bottle chips reached 70.89%. In terms of profit, the raw material PTA price dropped by 4 to 4686, MEG price increased by 47 to 4502, polymerization cost rose to 5514.7, and the profit loss for polyester bottle chips was -233.44 yuan/ton.

Figure 3: Trend of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Capacity Utilization Rate for 2024-2025

Figure 4 Comparison of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Profit and Price in 2025 (Yuan/Ton)

[聚酯瓶片日评]:成本走弱,聚酯瓶片价格下行(20250808)

[聚酯瓶片日评]:聚酯瓶片价格回调(20250728)

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Data Source: Longzhong Information

4. Market Sentiment

Table 2: Sentiment Expectations of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Industry Participants Upstream and Downstream (Updated on Mondays)

Perspective

Quantity

Proportion

Month-on-month

Bullish

6

32%

-4%

Bearish

14

26%

+2%

Flat

5

42%

+2%

5. Price Forecast

Domestic macroeconomic positives drive the short term.With cost support, the downstream peak season performance is unsatisfactory, market purchasing atmosphere is moderate, with rigid replenishment. There are concerns in the market about future supply increases. The spot price of polyester bottle-grade chips in the East China market is expected to be between 5850-5950 tomorrow, with a tendency towards weak fluctuations. Future attention should be focused on changes in raw materials (unit: yuan/ton).

6. Related Product Information

PTA Market: PTA prices in the East China market are being consolidated, with negotiations around 4690. August main port delivery for the 09 contract traded at a discount of 0-5, and September main port delivery for the 09 contract traded at a premium of 10-15. Macro drivers provided a boost, with absolute prices rising in the afternoon. The spot basis remains relatively strong, although buying sentiment is still cautious, and market transactions are moderate. (Unit: RMB/ton)

MEG market Today, ethylene glycol opened lower and moved higher. At the opening of the morning session, the spot price in Zhangjiagang opened around 4460. In the morning, buying interest was dull and the price focus shifted downward. In the afternoon, influenced by news of phasing out outdated production capacity, the price quickly rose from the bottom. By the close of the afternoon session, the spot price had broken through the 4500 level, with negotiations around 4515. The spot basis was strong in the morning at about 09+92, but fell back to 09+88 in the afternoon. The South China market followed the strong trend, but downstream buying interest was limited, and transactions remained light.

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