[pe morning update] supply-demand contradictions not prominent, prices fluctuate narrowly
I. Points of Attention
1 Cost side: The market is focusing on OPEC+'s continued production increase plan, coupled with still poor demand outlook, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for December contract fell by $1.16 to $60.15 per barrel, a decrease of 1.89% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for December contract fell by $1.22 to $64.40 per barrel, a decrease of 1.86% compared to the previous period. 。
2 Current parking device: Currently, parking devices involve 26 sets of polyethylene units, with new maintenance for Baolai LyondellBasell and Daqing Petrochemical units.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market prices fell by 2-10 yuan/ton. Costs are currently unsupported, and many traders are offering slight discounts to move goods, with market transactions being cautious.
Core Logic: The supply-demand contradiction is not prominent for the time being, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range.
2. Price List Form
|
Variety |
Category |
2025/10/27 |
2025/10/28 |
Change in Value |
Change in Price Percentage |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
7987 |
7985 |
-2 |
-0.03% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic |
7291 |
7283 |
-8 |
-0.11% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure drawing material |
7714 |
7705 |
-9 |
-0.12% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure small hollow material |
7469 |
7459 |
-10 |
-0.13% |
|
LDPE |
High-pressure film material |
9296 |
9291 |
-5 |
-0.05% |
|
LLDPE |
Linear Melt Index 2 Film Grade |
7228 |
7224 |
-4 |
-0.06% |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
|||||
3. Market Outlook
Maintenance increases, alleviating supply pressure; downstream operations rise during peak season, and procurement increases month-on-month. The supply-demand contradiction is not prominent for the time being, and prices fluctuate within a narrow range.
4. Data Calendar
|
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous Data |
Next trend forecast |
|
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
51.46 |
↘ |
|
PE Social Sample Repository Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
-3.30% |
↘ |
|
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
64.81 |
↗ |
|
PE Maintenance Impact (ten thousand tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
10.67 |
↘ |
|
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
81.46% |
↗ |
|
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.84% |
↗ |
|
PE Mentality Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
3.96% |
↗ |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as substantial when highlighting data dimensions with increases or decreases exceeding 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a range of 0-3%. |
|||
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