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[pe morning update] supply-demand contradictions not prominent, prices fluctuate narrowly

Longzhong 2025-10-29 08:53:28

I. Points of Attention

1 Cost side: The market is focusing on OPEC+'s continued production increase plan, coupled with still poor demand outlook, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for December contract fell by $1.16 to $60.15 per barrel, a decrease of 1.89% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for December contract fell by $1.22 to $64.40 per barrel, a decrease of 1.86% compared to the previous period.

2 Current parking device: Currently, parking devices involve 26 sets of polyethylene units, with new maintenance for Baolai LyondellBasell and Daqing Petrochemical units.

3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market prices fell by 2-10 yuan/ton. Costs are currently unsupported, and many traders are offering slight discounts to move goods, with market transactions being cautious.

Core Logic: The supply-demand contradiction is not prominent for the time being, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range.

2. Price List Form

Variety

Category

2025/10/27

2025/10/28

Change in Value

Change in Price Percentage

HDPE

Low-pressure film material

7987  

7985

-2  

-0.03%

HDPE

Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic

7291

7283

-8

-0.11%

HDPE

Low-pressure drawing material

7714

7705

-9

-0.12%

HDPE

Low-pressure small hollow material

7469

7459

-10

-0.13%

LDPE

High-pressure film material

9296

9291

-5

-0.05%

LLDPE

Linear Melt Index 2 Film Grade

7228

7224

-4

-0.06%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

Maintenance increases, alleviating supply pressure; downstream operations rise during peak season, and procurement increases month-on-month. The supply-demand contradiction is not prominent for the time being, and prices fluctuate within a narrow range.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Publication Date

Previous Data

Next trend forecast

PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons)

Wednesday 5:00 PM

51.46

PE Social Sample Repository Inventory

Tuesday 5:00 PM

-3.30%

PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

64.81

PE Maintenance Impact (ten thousand tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

10.67

PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

81.46%

PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

0.84%

PE Mentality Survey

Thursday 12:00 AM

3.96%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Note:

1 Consider significant fluctuations as substantial when highlighting data dimensions with increases or decreases exceeding 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a range of 0-3%.

 

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