[pe morning brief] price expected to fluctuate weakly
I. Points of Attention
1 Cost side: Market concerns about the poor outlook for the U.S. economy and demand overshadowed the positive impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, leading to a drop in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract fell by $0.48/barrel to $63.57, a decrease of 0.75% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract fell by $0.51/barrel to $67.44, also a decrease of 0.75% compared to the previous period. 。
2 Current parking device: Currently, the parking devices involve 28 sets of polyethylene units, and there are no new unit maintenance activities.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: On the previous day, the domestic polyethylene market prices mostly fell, by 3-7 yuan/ton. The market has sufficient spot supply, and traders are offering discounts to promote transactions. Downstream buyers are maintaining purchases based on just-in-time needs, and trading volume has not increased.
Core logic: The supply-demand contradiction still exists, and prices fluctuate with a weak trend.
2. Price List Form
Variety |
Category |
2025/9/17 |
2025/9/18 |
Change in value |
Price Change Percentage |
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
8028 |
8022 |
-6 |
-0.07% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic |
7488 |
7485 |
-3 |
-0.04% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure wire drawing material |
7906 |
7902 |
-4 |
-0.05% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure small hollow material |
7538 |
7539 |
1 |
0.01% |
LDPE |
High-pressure film material |
9641 |
9634 |
-7 |
-0.07% |
LLDPE |
Linear Melt Index 2 Film Material |
7416 |
7410 |
-6 |
-0.08% |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
3. Market Outlook
Recently, with the startup of Shenhua Xinjiang's plant, there is an expectation of increased high-pressure supply, while the supply of other varieties remains stable. Downstream operations are ramping up, but restocking is cautious. Cost support is weakening, supply-demand contradictions persist, and prices are fluctuating weakly.
4. Data Calendar
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous Data |
The trend for the next period is expected. |
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
49.03 |
↘ |
PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
-2.45% |
↘ |
PE Weekly Production (ten thousand tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
63.10 |
↗ |
PE Maintenance impact (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
12.52 |
↘ |
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
80.36% |
↗ |
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.75% |
↗ |
PE Mindset Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
-4.45% |
↘ |
Data source: Longzhong Information Remarks: 1 Consider a large fluctuation as a significant change, highlighting data dimensions with a rise or fall exceeding 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within the range of 0-3%. |
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