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【PE Monthly Review】Price Fluctuation Range: 2-287! Supply and Demand Margin Weakens, PE Market Prices Expected to Decline in April

Longzhong 2025-03-31 17:20:28

1.This Month's Hot Topics

1) In March, domestic polyethylene production increased by 7.12% to 2.7503 million tons.

In March, China's polyethylene social sample warehouse inventory decreased by 2.69% to 618,700 tons.

2. Market Analysis for This Month

Domestic polyethylene market price trend chart (yuan/ton)

[聚乙烯月评]：供需边际偏弱，聚乙烯价格下跌（2025年3月）

Source: Longzhong Information

Monthly Price Fluctuation Table of Polyethylene Market in China

Unit: Yuan/Ton

variety	Region	Purpose	2025March of the year	2025February	2024March	Month-on-month %	同比增长率
HDPE	North China Region	Wire drawing	8351	8326	8547	0.30%	-2.29%
HDPE	North China region	Film	8252	8254	8381	-0.02%	-1.54%
HDPE	North China Region	Hollow	7916	7891	8255	0.32%	-4.11%
HDPE	North China region	Injection molding	7566	7570	7923	-0.05%	-4.51%
HDPE	North China region	100 Level pipe materials	8178	7819	8035	4.59%	1.78%
HDPE	East China Region	Wire drawing	8373	8388	8560	-0.18%	-2.18%
HDPE	East China Region	Film	8181	8143	8278	0.47%	-1.17%
HDPE	East China region	Hollow	8102	8082	8085	0.25%	0.21%
HDPE	East China	injection molding	7702	7628	7878	0.97%	-2.23%
HDPE	East China region	100grade pipe	7800	7782	8152	0.23%	-4.32%
HDPE	South China Region	Drawstring	8574	8695	8700	-1.39%	-1.45%
HDPE	South China region	Film	8175	7987	8394	2.35%	-2.61%
HDPE	South China region	hollow	7752	7758	8432	-0.08%	-8.06%
LDPE	North China region	Thin film	9793	9960	9138	-1.68%	7.17%
LDPE	East China region	Film	9868	10074	9250	-2.04%	6.68%
LDPE	South China region	Thin film	9973	10133	9517	-1.58%	4.79%
LLDPE	North China Region	Film	8095	8178	8185	-1.01%	-1.10%
LLDPE	East China Region	Thin film	8141	8216	8205	-0.91%	-0.78%
LLDPE	South China Region	Film	8169	8378	8347	-2.49%	-2.13%

3Domestically, polyethylene prices fell last month. The commissioning of two new production lines increased monthly output by 7.12% to 2.7503 million tons; social sample inventory decreased slightly by 2.69% to 0.6187 million tons. Downstream industries.The operating rate increased by 14% to 37%. The agricultural film and packaging film markets were mainly driven by rigid demand and short-term contract orders, with limited support from the demand side due to low-price purchases. Overall, the supply-demand margin was weak in March, leading to a decline in polyethylene prices. By the end of the month, the average monthly price of mainstream LLDPE film in North China was 7,940 yuan/ton, down 1.08% month-on-month.

3.Next Month's Market Forecast

The domestic PE market price in April is expected to decline.Shandong New EraThe commissioning of 700,000 tons of production capacity is expected to increase domestic total output by 0.29% to 2.7582 million tons. On the import side, a reduction of 7.61% to 1.1467 million tons is anticipated, easing pressure on the supply side. However, demand is expected to decline by 9% month-on-month in the agricultural film sector in April, while the packaging film sector is projected to rise by 4.85% month-on-month. Overall, downstream operating demand has been somewhat restrained, showing relatively average performance. In summary, while the supply side of the polyethylene market may see some support in April, upward movement will be constrained by weak demand. The average price of LLDPE in the North China market is forecasted to be 7,850 yuan/ton in April, 7,820 yuan/ton in May, and 7,800 yuan/ton in June.

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【PE Monthly Review】Price Fluctuation Range: 2-287! Supply and Demand Margin Weakens, PE Market Prices Expected to Decline in April

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