[ABS Daily Review] Market Transactions Driven by Rigid Demand Today, Prices Rise and Fall
1 Today's summary:
1. Today, prices in the East China market have dropped; prices in the South China market have shown both increases and decreases, with general market transactions.
In September, the monthly ABS production is expected to slightly decrease month-on-month.
2 Spot Overview Table 1 Summary of Domestic ABS Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
Based on the Ningbo and Dongguan regions, the market prices in East China have slightly decreased, while the market prices in South China have seen both increases and decreases. Today, market transactions are mainly driven by rigid demand, with prices fluctuating both upwards and downwards. Pre-holiday stocking sentiment remains insufficient. It is expected that the domestic ABS market price will continue to fluctuate within a narrow range tomorrow.
3 Production Dynamics
The Shandong Haijiang 200,000 tons/year ABS unit was shut down for maintenance on August 28, and the restart time is yet to be determined.
Figure 2 Weekly Domestic ABS Capacity Utilization Rate Trend Chart |
Figure 3 Weekly Domestic ABS Cost-Profit Trend Chart |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Forecast:
Using Yuyao and Dongguan as benchmarks, prices in the East China market have partially declined, while prices in the South China market have shown both increases and decreases. Today, market transactions are mainly driven by rigid demand, raw material prices have declined, and supply remains at a high level. ABS prices are expected to remain narrowly range-bound tomorrow.
5 Related product information:
Styrene Market: In the afternoon, with weak raw materials and main futures, the styrene market saw stronger selling, and spot trading slightly declined. In the Zhejiang market... There are reported negotiation intentions at 7200/7240 yuan/ton, with specific negotiations for actual orders. 。
Acrylonitrile market: Today in East ChinaAcrylonitrile Market PriceStable for now, the mainstream reference price is quoted at 8,500-8,700 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day. Market offers are cautious and stable, with weak spot transaction activity.
Butadiene Market: As of the time of writing, the ex-tank self-pickup price for butadiene in Jingyin, Jiangsu is approximately 8950-9050 yuan/ton, a decrease of 65 from the previous period. Vendors are mostly maintaining firm quotes, but the buying interest from downstream is not strong, making it difficult to achieve transactions at high prices, resulting in a slight market downturn.
6 Data Calendar
Table 4 Overview of Domestic ABS Data (Unit: 10,000 tons)
Data |
Release Date |
Previous Data |
This period's trend is expected |
ABS Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 11:30 AM |
70% |
↗ |
ABS Weekly Production |
Wednesday 4:00 PM |
12.96 |
↗ |
Manufacturer Inventory |
Monday and Thursday at 1:45 PM |
16.9 |
↘ |
Data Source: Longzhong Information Remarks: 1 Treat "", "↓", and "↑" as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions where the change exceeds 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a price change within 0-3%. |
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