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【ABS Daily Review】Fluctuation of 30-50! Market to cover shorts at the end of the month, expecting a narrow range consolidation in ABS.
Longzhong 2025-03-28 16:58:34

1Today's summary:

1. Today, the South China market is fluctuating; the East China market prices are declining, and overall transactions are mainly driven by demand.

In March, the monthly production of ABS is expected to rise.

2Spot overview

Market

Specifications

2025/03/27

2025/03/28

Change in value

Price change rate

Yuyao

15E1

11150

11150

0

0%

750A

No price

No price

No price

No price

HI-121H

11200

11200

0

0%

DG417

10650

10700

50

0.47%

PA-757K

11350

11350

0

0%

0215A

10550

10550

0

0%

Dongguan

15E1

10350

10320

-30

-0.29%

750A

No price

No price

No price

No price

121H

10250

10250

0

0%

KF730

9880

9880

0

0%

DG417

9850

9900

50

0.51%

PA-757K

No price

No price

No price

No price

0215A

9450

9450

0

0%

 

Based on the Ningbo and Dongguan regions, market prices are showing a slight decline.Today, the prices in Dongguan are fluctuating.The market prices in East China have partially declined.The overall market transaction is average, with terminal demand mainly driven by essential needs.

Figure 2: Domestic ABS Price Trend Chart by Region from 2023 to 2025 (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

[ABS日评]:华南补空行情价格局部小涨  华东继续阴跌(20250325)

 

 

3Production dynamics

The Tianjin Dagu 400,000 tons/year ABS plant started to reduce production on February 28, maintaining an overall operating rate of 60%. The Liaoning Jinfa 600,000 tons/year ABS plant is expected to undergo maintenance from May 15 to June 30, lasting 45 days.

Figure 3 Trend of Domestic ABS Capacity Utilization Rate from 2023 to 2025

 

[ABS日评]:华南补空行情价格局部小涨  华东继续阴跌(20250325)

 

 

Data source: Longzhong Information

 

4Price prediction:

At the end of the month, the market is filling the gaps, and transactions have slightly improved. Prices are maintaining a narrow range of consolidation, while supply remains at a high level. It is expected that domestic ABS will continue to maintain a narrow range of consolidation next week.

5Related product information

Styrene MarketIn the afternoon, the main contracts for raw material polypropylene and styrene rose and then fell back. The spot market followed suit, with the price increase in the Zhejiang market narrowing during the day. Currently, there are discussions at 8100/8150 yuan per ton.

Acrylonitrile market:Today in East ChinaAcrylonitrile market priceRise, mainstream delivery reference price is 9100-9300 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. Phase-wise supply reduction, new production capacity has not yet been released, the market continues to push up.

Butadiene MarketAs of the time of writing, the ex-tank self-lifting price of butadiene in Jiangyin, Jiangsu is around 11,000-11,100 yuan/ton, up 150 from the previous period. Improved transactions from suppliers have boosted merchants' quotations, but the buying interest remains just for demand, and the downstream sentiment is cautious. Sporadic buying intentions are at lower prices, leading to a stalemate in the market atmosphere, with few transactions reported.

6Data Calendar

Table 4 Overview of Domestic ABS Data (Unit: 10,000 tons)

Data

Release date

Last period data

This issue's trend forecast

ABSCapacity utilization rate

Thursday 11:30 AM

71.5%

ABSWeekly output

Wednesday 4:00 PM

12.96

Manufacturer inventory

Monday and Thursday at 1:45 PM

16.9

Data source: Longzhong Information

Remarks:

1Consider ↓↑ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with a rise or fall exceeding 3%.

2Consider narrow fluctuations as those with a price change within 0-3%.

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