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Pp morning alert: Market Quotes Continue Weak Consolidation

Longzhong 2025-09-24 08:38:09

I. Points of Focus

1 On September 23, the instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation persists, and the U.S. may escalate sanctions against some oil-producing countries, leading to a rise in international oil prices. The NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract increased by $1.13 per barrel to $63.41, a month-on-month increase of 1.81%. The ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract rose by $1.06 per barrel to $67.63, a month-on-month increase of 1.59%. China's INE crude oil futures for the 2511 contract fell by 8.9 to 475.3 yuan per barrel, and increased by 7.0 to 482.3 yuan per barrel in the night session.

2 On September 22, propylene FOB Korea dropped by 5 to 760 USD/ton, CFR China at 795 USD/ton.

3 This week (20250912-0918), the average operating rate of the domestic polypropylene downstream industry increased by 0.59 percentage points compared to last week, reaching 51.45%.

Core logic: "Double Festival" approachingManufacturing companies are actively destocking, and downstream demand has slightly improved.

II. Price List Form

Product

Category

9 22nd of the month

9 23rd of the month

Change in price

Unit

Crude oil

NYMEX

62.64

63.41

+1.13

USD/barrel

ICE Brent oil

66.57

67.63

+1.06

USD/barrel

Propylene

Domestic propylene

6535

6485

-50

CNY/ton

Methanol

Domestic Methanol

2410

2410

0

CNY/ton

PP Main Futures Contract

Closing Price

6869

6842

-31

Yuan/ton

Mainstream price of wire drawing

Zibo

6868

6833

-35

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

6772

6747

-25

CNY/ton

Guangzhou

6867

6844

-23

CNY/ton

Related Products

PP Powder

6710

6710

0

CNY/ton

PE

7430

7413

-13

CNY/ton

Remarks:

   1 The above RMB prices are all tax-inclusive telegraphic transfer prices.

   2 The prices for the two periods are the point prices from the past two working weeks before this week, not the weekly averages.

   3 The percentage change represents the extent of change compared to the previous period.

3. Market Outlook

With the "double festival" approaching, some downstream factories have slightly increased their orders, and market transactions have slightly increased. However, overall demand is still far below expectations. Upstream production enterprises are actively reducing their inventories, and market quotations continue to undergo weak adjustments. It is expected that...The mainstream price for East China wire drawing today is 6,650-6,850 yuan/ton.

4. Data Calendar

Data Project

Publication Date

Previous Data

Current Trend Forecast

Unit

PP Total Inventory

Wednesday 4:30 PM

80.07

10,000 tons

PP Production Enterprise Capacity Utilization Rate

Thursday 4:30 PM

0.749

%

PP Weekly maintenance impact amount

Thursday 4:30 PM

18.939

10,000 tons

Total Production of Domestic PP Enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

76.7

10,000 tons

Profit of Oil-Based PP Enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

-481.35

CNY/ton

Profit of Coal-to-PP Enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

399.87

Yuan/ton

PDH Manufacture PP enterprise profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-839.47

CNY/ton

PP Import Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-476.02

CNY/ton

PP Export Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-9.66

USD/ton

1 Consider large fluctuations as significant, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within the range of 0-3%.

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