【PE Early Morning Tip】Supply and demand contradictions are temporarily not prominent, and the polyethylene market is trading sideways.

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【PE Early Morning Tip】Supply and demand contradictions are temporarily not prominent, and the polyethylene market is trading sideways.

Longzhong 2025-04-01 08:17:44

One, Focus Areas

1 Cost side: The U.S. has indicated that it does not rule out the option of military action against Iran, and market concerns over potential supply risks have intensified, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEXCrude oil futuresMay contract rose by $2.12 to $71.48 per barrel, up 3.06% month-on-month; ICE Brent crude futures May contract rose by $1.11 to $74.74 per barrel, up 1.51% month-on-month. 。

2 Current parking device: Currently, the parking devices involve 20 polyethylene units, with no additional units under maintenance.

3 Yesterday's market review: The previous day domesticallyPolyethylene MarketNarrow-range adjustment, with a range of 2-9 yuan/ton. Affected by macroeconomic news, market sentiment is bearish, and traders continue to offer slight discounts for shipments, with a weak atmosphere.

Core Logic: The polyethylene spot market is fluctuating.

Price List

category	2025/3/31			Price fluctuation rate
category	Lowest Price	Highest price	Mainstream price	Price fluctuation rate
Low pressure film material	7971	8357	8147	0
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic	7435	8055	8061	-4
Low-voltage wire drawing material	8064	8520	8062	-7
Low-pressure small hollow material	7614	7992	7839	+2
High-pressure film material	9491	10029	9192	-9
Linear melt index 2 film material	7833	8319	8370	-8

Data source:Longzhong Information

III. Market Outlook

Crude oil prices have risen, enhancing cost support; downstream pre-holiday replenishment due to just-in-time demand has created expectations for market recovery. In the short term, supply and demand conflicts are not prominent, and the polyethylene market is operating with fluctuations.

Four, Data Calendar

Data project	Release date	Last period's data	This week's expectations
PE Total inventory of production enterprises (10,000 tons)	Wednesday 17:00 PM	50.47	↘
PE Social Sample Repository Inventory	Tuesday 5:00 PM	-2.99	↘
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)	Thursday 5:00 PM	61.64	↗
PE Maintenance Impact (10,000 tons)	Thursday 17:00PM	10.51	↘
PE Weekly capacity utilization rate	Thursday 5:00 PM	82.32%	↗
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate	Thursday 17:00PM	+2.29%	↗
PE Mindset Survey	Thursday 12:00 AM	-3.96%	↗
Note: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with increases or decreases exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with increases or decreases within 0-3%.

Data source: Longzhong Information

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【PE Early Morning Tip】Supply and demand contradictions are temporarily not prominent, and the polyethylene market is trading sideways.

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