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[pbt morning update] expected today pbt market to operate with caution

Longzhong 2025-10-09 09:11:59

I. Focus Points

1 On October 8, the market remained concerned about the supply risks stemming from the instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation, coupled with the continuation of U.S. sanctions on some oil-producing countries, leading to an increase in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract rose by $0.82 per barrel to $62.55, a month-on-month increase of 1.33%; ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract rose by $0.80 per barrel to $66.25, a month-on-month increase of 1.22%. China's INE crude oil futures were closed due to the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays.

2 、 PTA marketCenter of gravity shifts downward.BDO MarketRange fluctuation 。

3、 The equipment is operating normally for production.

Core Logic: Raw material support tends to stabilize. The PBT market is observing and operating with the market focus fluctuating within a narrow range.

2. Price List Form

Product	Region	2025/09/29	2025/09/30	Change in value
	NYMEX	63.45	62.37	-1.08
	ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures	67.97	67.02	-0.95
BDO		7300-7500	7300-7500	0/ 0
PTA		4590	4545	-45
PBT		7600-7900	7600-7900	0/ 0
Remark: 1 、 PTA Adopt the spot exchange price for national standard premium grade self-pickup. BDO For the price delivered for drainage acceptance, PBT Choose medium to low viscosity pure resin chips and accept delivery prices. 2 The unit of crude oil is in US dollars. / Bucket, others 3 The variety is priced in RMB, unit: yuan / tons. 3 The rise and fall value is the month-on-month change value.

3. Market Outlook

It is expected that the PBT market will be in a wait-and-see mode today.PTA futures After the holiday, there are planned reductions and shutdowns of facilities in Northeast China. During the traditional peak season, downstream demand remains stable. However, international oil prices are relatively weak, and the raw material side is expected to continue its weakness, leading to weaker cost support. Therefore, the PTA market is expected to continue its weak and volatile trend after the holiday. ；BDO The supplier's stable market mentality limits the room for maneuver, and there is no significant fluctuation in the market trading focus. After the holiday, with some facilities undergoing maintenance, the support from the supply side is slightly strengthened. There are not many changes in the fundamentals. PBT market may temporarily remain stable and observe operations. The market focus continues to fluctuate within a range. ， Longzhong expects that the price of low to medium viscosity PBT resin in the East China market today will be around 7600-7900 yuan/ton.

4. Data Calendar

Data	Publication Date	Previous data	The current trend forecast.
PBT Weekly Output	Thursday 5:00 PM	2.26 Ten thousand ton	↗
PBT Weekly Profit	Thursday 5:00 PM	-266 CNY/ton	↘
PBT Weekly Start	Thursday 5:00 PM	53.14 %	↗
1 Consider large fluctuations as significant, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a range of change within 0-3%.

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[pbt morning update] expected today pbt market to operate with caution

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