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[PA6 Morning Brief] PA6 Market Expected to Weaken in the Near Term

Longzhong 2025-10-16 08:42:51

1. Focus Point

1 On October 15, concerns about oversupply risks and demand prospects being suppressed by trade disputes initiated by the United States led to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract fell by $0.43 to $58.27 per barrel, a decrease of 0.73%. ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract dropped by $0.48 to $61.91 per barrel, a decline of 0.77%. China's INE crude oil futures for the 2512 contract fell by 7.6 to 444.9 yuan per barrel, and in the night session, it declined by 1.9 to 443 yuan per barrel.

2 Last week's closing price for Sinopec's caprolactam was 8,580 RMB/ton (six-month acceptance, interest-free).

3 Sinopec's listed price for pure benzene is reduced by 100 yuan/ton to 5650 yuan/ton, effective October 14th.

Core logic: Raw material prices are falling, downstream replenishment sentiment is cautious, and demand is limited. The PA6 market is operating weakly.

2. Price List

Unit: Yuan/Ton

Product

Quotation Item

October 14

October 15

Rise and fall

Remarks

NYMEX Crude oil

USD/barrel

58.7

58.27

-0.43

11 Contract

ICE Brent oil

USD/barrel

62.39

61.91

-0.48

12 Contract

Benzene

East China Market

5610-5650

5600-5650

-10/0

Cash pickup

Phenol

East China Market

6520-6550

6520-6550

0/0

Cash withdrawal

Cyclohexanone

Factory price

6600-6600

6550-6600

-50/0

Cash Ex-Factory

East China Market

6900-7000

6900-7000

0/0

Cash delivery

Caprolactam

East China Liquid Spot Market

8300-8300

8250-8250

-50/-50

Acceptance Delivered

Nylon 6 conventional spun slice

Ex-factory price

8650-8950

8600-8900

-50/-50

Cash Ex-Factory

Market price

8850-9100

8800-9100

-50/0

Deliver to East China

Polyamide 6 high-speed spinning chips

East China spot market

9300-9500

9300-9500

0/0

Acceptance Delivery

Nylon fiber

POY 85D/24F

11000-11800

11000-11800

0/0

Acceptance and Self-Pickup

DTY 70D/24F

13000-14600

13000-14600

0/0

Acceptance for Pickup

FDY 70D/24F

11800-12200

11800-12200

0/0

Acceptance for self-pickup

Short fiber 1.5D*38mm

11000-12000

11000-12000

0/0

Acceptance delivered.

Caprolactam

Sinopec September Settlement

9080

Acceptance and self-pickup

Shen Yuan September Settlement

9200

Acceptance for Pick-Up

Sinopec Weekly Settlement Price

8580

Accepted for Self-Pickup

Shen Yuanzhou Listed

9000/8900/8800

Acceptance for Pick-up

3 Market Outlook

The market price of caprolactam, a raw material, is declining, weakening cost support. Coupled with limited downstream demand and procurement of slices maintaining just the necessary levels, polymerization enterprises are experiencing sluggish sales and may continue to negotiate sales.The PA6 market is expected to operate weakly in the near term.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Release Date

Last period data

Current Trend Forecast

Polyamide 6 polymerization start-up rate

Thursday 16:00

76.04%

Conventional Spinning Profit of Polyamide 6

Thursday 16:00

-110 yuan/ton

Conventional Spun Nylon 6 Inventory

Thursday 16:00

7 days

1 Consider significant fluctuations as sharp volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a range of change within 0-3%.

Data source: Longzhong Information

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