【PA6 Daily Review】Up 100! Downstream cautiously replenishing inventory, expecting the PA6 market to operate with slight adjustments.
1
Sinopec's pure benzene prices at refineries in East China and South China have been reduced by 350 yuan/ton, now at 6,600 yuan/ton, effective March 26.
2 Spot Overview
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Nylon 6 Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
|
Market |
Specifications |
3 |
3 28th of the month |
Change in value |
|
|
Conventional spun sliced polyamide 6 |
|
10200-10600 |
10300-10600 |
+100/0 |
Cash factory |
|
Factory price (high-end) |
10600-11100 |
10600-11200 |
0/+100 |
Cash out of the factory |
|
|
East China Market (General) |
10500-10700 |
10500-10800 |
0/+100 |
Delivered to East China |
|
|
East China Market (High-end) |
10600-11100 |
10600-11200 |
0/+100 |
East China Self-Pickup |
|
|
Nylon 6 high-speed spinning chips |
East China spot |
11100-11700 |
11100-11700 |
0/0 |
Acceptance delivery |
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
Caprolactam |
|
9775 |
9800 |
+25 |
Acceptance delivery |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
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Today, the nylon 6 chip market has seen a slight increase. The upstream pure benzene has rebounded, and the raw material caprolactam market has followed suit with a small rise, resulting in increased chip costs. Polymer enterprises are maintaining firm quotations, but downstream buyers, after previous restocking, are taking a wait-and-see approach, leading to limited overall transactions and market negotiations for actual deals. East China PA6 conventional spinning ordinary price is 10,500-10,800 yuan/ton cash short delivery, high-speed spinning spot price is 11,100-11,700 yuan/ton with acceptance delivery. Chao Lake price is 9,700-9,800 yuan/ton cash self-pickup.
|
Figure 1 Domestic Polyamide 6 and Raw Material Price Trend Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
Figure 2: Price trend chart of conventional nylon 6 spinning slices and its 20-day moving average (unit: yuan/ton) |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3
The capacity utilization rate of nylon 6 is 82.59%. Raw material prices have slightly increased, and the price of conventional spinning nylon 6 chip has also risen slightly. The profit for conventional spinning is 50 yuan/ton, while the profit for high-speed spinning is 73 yuan/ton.
|
|
Figure 4 Domestic Nylon 6 Profit and Price Comparison Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
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|
|
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price prediction
From the cost perspective, the caprolactam market may operate in a range or slightly rise following the pure benzene prices, with attention on the future maintenance and reduction of production by raw material companies. From the supply and demand perspective, Zhejiang Fangyuan is gradually shutting down for maintenance, and Fangming plans to have maintenance next week, leading to a reduction in supply. However, the overall market supply remains high and there is pressure for inventory destocking. Downstream is cautious about replenishing stock. It is expected that the polyamide 6 market will operate in a narrow range in the short term, with close attention on downstream demand and manufacturers' pricing dynamics.
5
①、 Not many.
②、 Nylon filament market: In the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian regions, the market price of nylon POY 85D/24 is between 12,600 and 14,200 yuan/ton, with some quotes slightly higher. The cost support is insufficient, and the overall negotiations for nylon yarn are driven by demand, with the industry operating at low profit margins, leading to a slight decline in the market at high levels.
6 Data Calendar
|
|
|
|
This issue's trend forecast |
|
Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
83.53% |
↘ |
|
Weekly Output |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
13.6 |
↘ |
|
Conventional spinning profit |
|
-45 |
↘ |
|
Regular yarn inventory |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
13.5 |
→ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider fluctuations of ↑↓ as significant, highlighting data dimensions where the price change exceeds 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting the data where the price change is within 0-3%. |
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