【PA6 Daily Review】Rising Raw Material Prices Prompt Downstream Buyers to Restock at Lower Levels, Slight Improvement in Trading Atmosphere
1 Today's Summary
The weekly settlement price for Sinopec caprolactam is 10,280 yuan/ton (six months acceptance interest-free), down 100 yuan/ton from last week.
Sinopec's benzene prices in East China and South China refineries have been raised by 150 yuan/ton to 6,750 yuan/ton, effective from April 1st.
2 Spot Overview
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Nylon 6 Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
Market |
Specification |
3 December 31st |
4 January 1st |
Rise and fall value |
Payment Terms |
Polyamide 6 conventional spinning chips |
Factory Price (Ordinary) |
10300-10600 |
10300-10600 |
0/0 |
Cash Out of Factory |
Wholesale Price (High-end) |
10600-11200 |
10600-11200 |
0/0 |
Cash Out |
|
East China Market (General) |
10500-10800 |
10550-10800 |
+50/0 |
Deliver to East China |
|
East China Market (High-end) |
10600-11200 |
10600-11200 |
0/0 |
East China Self-Pickup |
|
Nylon 6 high-speed spinning chips |
East China Spot Market |
11100-11700 |
11100-11600 |
0/-100 |
Deliver to for acceptance |
key upstream |
|||||
Caprolactam |
East China |
9825 |
9900 |
+75 |
Acceptance delivery |
Data source:Luongzhong Information |
Today, the conventional spinning chips of polyamide 6 have slightly increased. The upstream pure benzene and raw material caprolactam markets are performing well, strengthening the cost support for chips. Downstream production enterprises have entered the market to replenish stocks at lower prices, driving the market trading atmosphere. The trading atmosphere for some chips has improved, with actual orders being negotiated in the market. East China PA6 conventional spinning ordinary 10550-10800 yuan/ton cash short delivery, high-speed spinning spot 11100-11600 yuan/ton acceptance delivered. Chaohu 9750-9850 yuan/ton cash self-pickup price.
Figure 1 Domestic price trend chart of polyamide 6 and its raw materials (unit: CNY/ton) |
Figure 2. Conventional spinning chip of polyamide 6 and its 20-day moving average trend chart (unit: yuan/ton) |
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|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
The operating rate of PA6 capacity is 81.08%. Fangming will start maintenance today, which will last for about 20 days. Zhejiang Fytec will gradually shut down for maintenance, which will take about 35 to 45 days. Shanxi Lvbao is currently shut down.
2) The prices of raw materials have slightly increased, the price of regular spun polyamide 6 chips remains stable, with a profit of -50 yuan/ton for regular spun polyamide 6 chips and a profit of 53 yuan/ton for high-speed spun polyamide 6 chips.
Figure 3: Trend Chart of Domestic Polyamide 6 Capacity Utilization Rate |
Figure 4: Domestic Polyamide 6 Profit and Price Comparison Chart (Unit: RMB/ton) |
|
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction
From the cost perspective, the raw material caprolactam may face upward pressure due to cost increases, leading to higher polymerization costs. From the supply-demand perspective, Zhejiang Fangyuan and Fangming are undergoing maintenance shutdowns, resulting in reduced supply. Some enterprises are gradually alleviating inventory pressure, with downstream businesses primarily restocking based on demand. It is expected that the nylon 6 market will operate slightly favorably in the near term, with close attention to downstream demand and pricing dynamics from manufacturers.
5 Related product information
①、 Caprolactam market: Today, the mainstream spot price of caprolactam in East China is 9,900 yuan/ton on a delivered acceptance basis, with a trading range of 9,850-9,950 yuan/ton. Pure benzene price Rebound and reduced supply support, Caprolactam price Prices explore higher, downstream follows up as needed.
②、 Nylon filament market: In the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian regions, the market price of Nylon POY85D/24 is 12,300-13,600 yuan/ton, with some offers slightly higher. The cost support is insufficient, and the overall negotiation for nylon yarn is based on rigid demand. The industry is operating with minimal profit, and the market is showing signs of softening at the higher end.
6 Data Calendar
Table 2 Domestic Polyamide 6 Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, yuan/ton, days)
Data |
Release Date |
Last period's data |
This period's trend forecast |
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
83.53% |
↘ |
Weekly Production |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
13.6 |
↘ |
Conventional spinning profit |
Thursday at 4:00 PM |
-45 |
↘ |
Regular spinning inventory |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
13.5 |
→ |
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: Translate the above content from Chinese to English and output the translation result directly without any explanation. 1 、↓↑ considered as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2 、↗↘ are considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting the data with涨跌幅 (change) within 0-3%. |
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