【PA6 Daily Review】Rising Raw Material Prices Prompt Downstream Buyers to Restock at Lower Levels, Slight Improvement in Trading Atmosphere
1 Today's Summary
The weekly settlement price for Sinopec caprolactam is 10,280 yuan/ton (six months acceptance interest-free), down 100 yuan/ton from last week.
Sinopec's benzene prices in East China and South China refineries have been raised by 150 yuan/ton to 6,750 yuan/ton, effective from April 1st.
2 Spot Overview
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Nylon 6 Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
|
Market |
Specification |
3 December 31st |
4 January 1st |
Rise and fall value |
Payment Terms |
|
Polyamide 6 conventional spinning chips |
Factory Price (Ordinary) |
10300-10600 |
10300-10600 |
0/0 |
Cash Out of Factory |
|
Wholesale Price (High-end) |
10600-11200 |
10600-11200 |
0/0 |
Cash Out |
|
|
East China Market (General) |
10500-10800 |
10550-10800 |
+50/0 |
Deliver to East China |
|
|
East China Market (High-end) |
10600-11200 |
10600-11200 |
0/0 |
East China Self-Pickup |
|
|
Nylon 6 high-speed spinning chips |
East China Spot Market |
11100-11700 |
11100-11600 |
0/-100 |
Deliver to for acceptance |
|
key upstream |
|||||
|
Caprolactam |
East China |
9825 |
9900 |
+75 |
Acceptance delivery |
|
Data source:Luongzhong Information |
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Today, the conventional spinning chips of polyamide 6 have slightly increased. The upstream pure benzene and raw material caprolactam markets are performing well, strengthening the cost support for chips. Downstream production enterprises have entered the market to replenish stocks at lower prices, driving the market trading atmosphere. The trading atmosphere for some chips has improved, with actual orders being negotiated in the market. East China PA6 conventional spinning ordinary 10550-10800 yuan/ton cash short delivery, high-speed spinning spot 11100-11600 yuan/ton acceptance delivered. Chaohu 9750-9850 yuan/ton cash self-pickup price.
|
Figure 1 Domestic price trend chart of polyamide 6 and its raw materials (unit: CNY/ton) |
Figure 2. Conventional spinning chip of polyamide 6 and its 20-day moving average trend chart (unit: yuan/ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
The operating rate of PA6 capacity is 81.08%. Fangming will start maintenance today, which will last for about 20 days. Zhejiang Fytec will gradually shut down for maintenance, which will take about 35 to 45 days. Shanxi Lvbao is currently shut down.
2) The prices of raw materials have slightly increased, the price of regular spun polyamide 6 chips remains stable, with a profit of -50 yuan/ton for regular spun polyamide 6 chips and a profit of 53 yuan/ton for high-speed spun polyamide 6 chips.
|
Figure 3: Trend Chart of Domestic Polyamide 6 Capacity Utilization Rate |
Figure 4: Domestic Polyamide 6 Profit and Price Comparison Chart (Unit: RMB/ton) |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction
From the cost perspective, the raw material caprolactam may face upward pressure due to cost increases, leading to higher polymerization costs. From the supply-demand perspective, Zhejiang Fangyuan and Fangming are undergoing maintenance shutdowns, resulting in reduced supply. Some enterprises are gradually alleviating inventory pressure, with downstream businesses primarily restocking based on demand. It is expected that the nylon 6 market will operate slightly favorably in the near term, with close attention to downstream demand and pricing dynamics from manufacturers.
5 Related product information
①、 Caprolactam market: Today, the mainstream spot price of caprolactam in East China is 9,900 yuan/ton on a delivered acceptance basis, with a trading range of 9,850-9,950 yuan/ton. Pure benzene price Rebound and reduced supply support, Caprolactam price Prices explore higher, downstream follows up as needed.
②、 Nylon filament market: In the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian regions, the market price of Nylon POY85D/24 is 12,300-13,600 yuan/ton, with some offers slightly higher. The cost support is insufficient, and the overall negotiation for nylon yarn is based on rigid demand. The industry is operating with minimal profit, and the market is showing signs of softening at the higher end.
6 Data Calendar
Table 2 Domestic Polyamide 6 Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, yuan/ton, days)
|
Data |
Release Date |
Last period's data |
This period's trend forecast |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
83.53% |
↘ |
|
Weekly Production |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
13.6 |
↘ |
|
Conventional spinning profit |
Thursday at 4:00 PM |
-45 |
↘ |
|
Regular spinning inventory |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
13.5 |
→ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: Translate the above content from Chinese to English and output the translation result directly without any explanation. 1 、↓↑ considered as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2 、↗↘ are considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting the data with涨跌幅 (change) within 0-3%. |
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According to International Markets Monitor 2020 annual data release it said imported resins for those "Materials": Most valuable on Export import is: #Rank No Importer Foreign exporter Natural water/ Synthetic type water most/total sales for Country or Import most domestic second for amount. Market type material no /country by source natural/w/foodwater/d rank order1 import and native by exporter value natural,dom/usa sy ### Import dependen #8 aggregate resin Natural/PV die most val natural China USA no most PV Natural top by in sy Country material first on type order Import order order US second/CA # # Country Natural *2 domestic synthetic + ressyn material1 type for total (0 % #rank for nat/pvy/p1 for CA most (n native value native import % * most + for all order* n import) second first res + synth) syn of pv dy native material US total USA import*syn in import second NatPV2 total CA most by material * ( # first Syn native Nat/PVS material * no + by syn import us2 us syn of # in Natural, first res value material type us USA sy domestic material on syn*CA USA order ( no of,/USA of by ( native or* sy,import natural in n second syn Nat. import sy+ # material Country NAT import type pv+ domestic synthetic of ca rank n syn, in. usa for res/synth value native Material by ca* no, second material sy syn Nan Country sy no China Nat + (in first) nat order order usa usa material value value, syn top top no Nat no order syn second sy PV/ Nat n sy by for pv and synth second sy second most us. of,US2 value usa, natural/food + synth top/nya most* domestic no Natural. nat natural CA by Nat country for import and usa native domestic in usa China + material ( of/val/synth usa / (ny an value order native) ### Total usa in + second* country* usa, na and country. CA CA order syn first and CA / country na syn na native of sy pv syn, by. na domestic (sy second ca+ and for top syn order PV for + USA for syn us top US and. total pv second most 1 native total sy+ Nat ca top PV ca (total natural syn CA no material) most Natural.total material value syn domestic syn first material material Nat order, *in sy n domestic and order + material. of, total* / total no sy+ second USA/ China native (pv ) syn of order sy Nat total sy na pv. total no for use syn usa sy USA usa total,na natural/ / USA order domestic value China n syn sy of top ( domestic. Nat PV # Export Res type Syn/P Material country PV, by of Material syn and.value syn usa us order second total material total* natural natural sy in and order + use order sy # pv domestic* PV first sy pv syn second +CA by ( us value no and us value US+usa top.US USA us of for Nat+ *US,us native top ca n. na CA, syn first USA and of in sy syn native syn by US na material + Nat . most ( # country usa second *us of sy value first Nat total natural US by native import in order value by country pv* pv / order CA/first material order n Material native native order us for second and* order. material syn order native top/ (na syn value. +US2 material second. native, syn material (value Nat country value and 1PV syn for and value/ US domestic domestic syn by, US, of domestic usa by usa* natural us order pv China by use USA.ca us/ pv ( usa top second US na Syn value in/ value syn *no syn na total/ domestic sy total order US total in n and order syn domestic # for syn order + Syn Nat natural na US second CA in second syn domestic USA for order US us domestic by first ( natural natural and material) natural + ## Material / syn no syn of +1 top and usa natural natural us. order. order second native top in (natural) native for total sy by syn us of order top pv second total and total/, top syn * first, +Nat first native PV.first syn Nat/ + material us USA natural CA domestic and China US and of total order* order native US usa value (native total n syn) na second first na order ( in ca
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