[PA6 Daily Review] Market Weakened by Multiple Negative Factors in PA6 Market
1 Today's Summary
①、 The weekly settlement price of Sinopec caprolactam last week was 8,580 RMB/ton (six-month acceptance without interest).
②、 Sinopec's listing price for benzene has been reduced by 100 yuan/ton to 5,650 yuan/ton, effective October 14.
2 Spot Overview
Today, the nylon 6 market is operating weakly, with multiple negative factors affecting the market. The raw material market is undergoing weak adjustments, providing limited cost support. Furthermore, due to limited downstream demand, the procurement of raw materials is relatively cautious. Manufacturers are slow in shipping, low-priced slices frequently appear, and actual transactions are subject to negotiation. East PA6 regular spinning ordinary price is 8850-9100 RMB/ton cash short delivery, high-speed spinning spot price is 9300-9500 RMB/ton with acceptance delivery. Chao Lake price is 8250-8350 RMB/ton cash self-pickup.
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Figure 1 Domestic Nylon 6 Weekly Price Trend Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
Figure 2 Domestic Nylon 6 and Raw Material Price Trend Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
1 The capacity utilization rate of polyamide 6 is 79.53%.
2 The conventional spinning profit for nylon 6 is -125 yuan/ton, while the high-speed spinning profit is -232 yuan. /ton.
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Figure 3 Domestic Polyamide 6 Capacity Utilization Trend Chart |
Figure 4: Comparison of Domestic Polyamide 6 Profits (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction
From the cost perspective, the caprolactam market is operating weakly, with weakened expectations for cost support; from the supply and demand perspective, domestic polymer enterprises are operating steadily, with stable supply, but downstream terminal orders are generally limited in demand. It is expected that the PA6 market will operate weakly in the near term.
5 Relevant Product Information
①、 Caprolactam Market: Today The market price of caprolactam in East China is 8,300 yuan/ton, accepted and delivered, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. Negotiations in the caprolactam market are stalled, with companies wanting to maintain prices amid losses. Costs and demand are weak, and downstream pricing intentions continue to trend lower.
②、 Nylon filament market: The market price for nylon POY 85D/24 in the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian regions is 11,000-11,800 yuan/ton. Cost-driven decline Some offers are slightly higher, and companies find it difficult to trade at high quotes. The overall negotiation for nylon yarns is based on just-in-time needs, and the industry is experiencing minimal profits.
6. Data Calendar
Table 2 Overview of Domestic Polyamide 6 Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, Yuan/ton, days)
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Data |
Publication Date |
Previous data |
This period's trend forecast |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
76.04% |
↗ |
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Weekly Production |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
12.80 |
↗ |
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Conventional Spinning Profit |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
-110 |
↘ |
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Conventional spinning inventory |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
7 |
↗ |
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Data source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as those with changes beyond 3%, highlighting the data dimensions with such increase or decrease. 2 Consider narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%. |
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