[PA6 Daily Review] Increased Cost Pressure, Chip Manufacturers Maintain Firm Quotations, PA6 Market Prices Rise
1 Today's Summary
①、Sinopec's weekly settlement price for caprolactam is 10,280 yuan/ton (six-month interest-free acceptance), a decrease of 100 yuan/ton from last week.
Sinopec increased the prices of pure benzene by 150 yuan/ton at refineries in East and South China, implementing 6750 yuan/ton, effective from April 1st.
2 Current Spot Situation
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Polyamide 6 Prices (Unit: Yuan per ton)
|
Market |
Specification |
4 Monthly 1st |
4 February 2nd |
Change value |
Payment Terms |
|
Conventional spun nylon 6 slice |
Factory price (ordinary) |
10300-10600 |
10350-10800 |
+50/+200 |
Cash out of the factory |
|
Factory Price (High-end) |
10600-11200 |
10700-11300 |
+100/+100 |
出厂现金 |
|
|
East China Market (Regular) |
10500-10800 |
10650-10950 |
+100/+150 |
|
|
|
East China Market (High-End) |
10600-11200 |
10600-11200 |
+100/+100 |
East China Self-pickup |
|
|
Polyamide 6 high-speed spinning chip |
East China Spot |
11100-11600 |
11100-11600 |
0/0 |
Acceptance delivered |
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
Caprolactam |
East China |
9900 |
9975 |
+75 |
Deliver to Acceptance |
|
Data source:Luongzhong Information |
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Today, the price of regular spinning polyamide 6 chip increased. The supply of raw material caprolactam decreased, causing enterprises to maintain their报价坚挺. This strengthened the cost support for the chip. Polymerization enterprises, with slim profits, raised their ex-factory prices for the chip. However, downstream production enterprises adopted a cautious attitude towards the market, only replenishing stocks at appropriate prices, resulting in limited transactions. Market actual deals were mainly negotiated. . Huadong PA6 conventional spinning ordinary 10650-10950 CNY/ton cash short delivery, high-speed spinning spot 11100-11600 CNY/ton acceptance delivery. Chaohu 9800-9900 CNY/ton cash self-pickup price.
|
Figure 1 Domestic PA6 Price and Raw Material Price Trend Chart (Unit: RMB/Ton) |
Figure 2: Conventional spinning chip of polyamide 6 and its 20-day moving average trend chart (unit: CNY/ton) |
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|
Data source: Longzhong Information Group |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
The capacity utilization rate of PA6 is 79.90%. Fangming is under maintenance for about 20 days, Zhejiang Fychemical is under maintenance for about 35-45 days, and Shanxi Luliang is shut down.
2) The cost of raw materials has increased, leading to a rise in the price of conventional spinning polyamide 6 chips. The profit for conventional spinning polyamide 6 chips is -25 yuan per ton, while the profit for high-speed spinning is 26.75 yuan per ton.
|
|
Figure 4 Domestic Nylon 6 Profit and Price Comparison (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
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|
|
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price prediction
From a cost perspective, the supply of raw material caprolactam has decreased, keeping prices relatively firm, and the pressure on polymerization costs has increased. From a supply and demand perspective, Zhejiang Fangyuan and Fangming have halted for maintenance, and some companies have reduced their loads, leading to a decrease in supply. Downstream industries are mainly replenishing their stocks as needed, and some polymerization companies have seen a reduction in inventory pressure. It is expected that the polyamide 6 market will experience a slight positive adjustment in the near future, with close attention to downstream demand and manufacturers' pricing dynamics.
5 , Related product information
①、 Caprolactam market: Today, the mainstream price of caprolactam in East China is 9,950-10,000 yuan/ton, delivered on acceptance. After a reduction in caprolactam supply, prices continue to rise, with downstream purchases mainly based on demand.
②、 Nylon filament market: The market price of nylon POY 85D/24 in the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian regions ranges from 12,300 to 13,600 yuan/ton, with some offers slightly higher. Insufficient cost support has led to overall rigid demand in negotiations for nylon filament, with the industry operating on thin profits. The market has seen a slight loosening at high levels.
6 , Data Calendar
Table 2 Overview of Domestic Polyamide 6 Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, yuan/ton, days)
|
Data |
Release Date |
Last period's data |
This period's trend forecast |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
83.53% |
↘ |
|
Weekly production |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
13.6 |
↘ |
|
Regular spinning profit |
|
-45 |
↘ |
|
Regular yarn inventory |
Thursday 16:00PM |
13.5 |
→ |
|
Remarks: 1 Consider fluctuations as significant when the price changes exceed 3%. 2 ,↗↘ are considered narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with涨跌幅in the range of 0-3%. Note: The phrase "涨跌幅" was not fully translated as it seems to be a specific financial term that needs context for an accurate translation. In English, it is often referred to as "price fluctuation" or "percentage change." |
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