Market Analysts: Oil Market Faces Multiple Pressures
10月15日讯，期货日报10月15日文章显示，“目前，全球原油市场供大于求的局面难以改变。”申银万国期货原油高级分析师董超表示，IEA预计四季度供应过剩可能在200万桶/日以上。“在供应过剩阴霾笼罩、需求端又缺乏强劲支撑的背景下，国际油价偏弱运行的态势短期内难以扭转，多家机构预测国际油价可能在四季度进一步下探。”海通期货研究所原油研究员赵若晨表示，未来需要重点关注OPEC+在11月2日召开的产量会议。尽管OPEC+目前坚持增产，但其公告中也强调会“保持充分的灵活性”，因此油价持续下跌后OPEC+是否会调整甚至暂停其增产计划，将是市场短期关注的焦点。宏观环境也会对原油市场产生重要影响，中美贸易谈判的后续发展、美国联邦政府“停摆”情况和美联储降息路径是中期市场关注的焦点。
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