This week's market analysis

The recycled PE market price remains stable and consolidates, with both supply and demand lacking breakthrough momentum. The terminal consumer end continues to face pressure, downstream product companies have insufficient new orders, and procurement mainly focuses on digesting the necessary inventory. Recycled enterprises flexibly schedule production, cautiously maintaining stable quotations, and the market is filled with a strong wait-and-see sentiment. As of March 20th, the mainstream reference price for first-grade high-pressure white transparent pellets in Fujian is 6400-6500 yuan/ton, the mainstream reference price for ordinary crushed material of Wahaha low-pressure in Hebei is 4400-4600 yuan/ton, the mainstream reference price for first-grade high-pressure white transparent pellets in Hebei is 6300-6500 yuan/ton, the mainstream reference price for Wahaha white pellets in Hebei is 5400-5500 yuan/ton, and the mainstream reference price for EVA granules in Juxian is 6000-6100 yuan/ton.

2. downstream dynamics

This week, the capacity utilization rate of various downstream industries of polyethylene increased by 2.58% compared to last week. The capacity utilization rate for agricultural films increased by 1.05% compared to last week, for pipe materials it increased by 3.17%, for hollow materials it increased by 1.92%, for injection molding it increased by 1.43%, for packaging films it increased by 3.67%, and for filament it increased by 0.89%.

3. This week's market focus

Supply forecast: The supply of high-quality raw materials remains tight, while negotiations for mid-to-low-end goods are ongoing. The cost of purchasing raw materials is high, and recycling companies are cautiously increasing their operations. Overall, the supply side can still maintain a balanced state.

Demand forecast: The new material market situation is difficult to improve, insufficiently benefiting the recycled market. Market demand release falls short of expectations, and there are no significant positive messages supporting the market. Overall, it's hard for the market to see major improvements.

Cost analysis: Although the supply of Youmao Department is tight, the cost support is weakened due to the buyers' price pressure, leading to a reduced support for recycled materials. Recycled material enterprises operate flexibly and handle with caution.

4. Next week's market forecast

The current recycled plastic market remains cautious, with downstream product manufacturers replenishing stocks as needed, and demand is being released slowly. At present, raw materials are in short supply and prices are high, leading to higher granulation costs for recycling plants, squeezing their profits. The price of new PE material is under pressure and falling, providing insufficient support for recycled materials. The demand for recycled PE is average, and the enthusiasm of downstream buyers is not high; the market lacks significant positive support, making it difficult for prices to rise. The recycled PE market continues to be stable but slightly weak, with new PP material prices also weak. The price gap between new and old materials remains low, which is unfavorable for the trading of recycled materials. There are only a few new orders in the market, and recycling companies are flexibly scheduling production and cautiously quoting. It is expected that in the short term, the price of recycled plastics may maintain a consolidation trend, with caution in high-price transactions.