Search History
Clear
Trending Searches
Refresh
avatar

[PVC Daily Review] Weak Supply and Demand, PVC Remains Stable During the Day

Longzhong 2025-09-17 16:49:58

1. Today's Summary

① Domestic PVC manufacturers have partially raised ex-factory prices by approximately 30-50 yuan per ton.

② Zhenyang units resumed operation within the week; Jinchuan and Beiyuan units underwent maintenance; Yanhua Magnesium units resumed operation; Yinglite partially shut down some units for maintenance on the 18th; Liancheng temporarily halted operations.

Jiajiaxingcheng will conduct a test run, and Yaowang will conduct a test run within the month.

2 Spot Market Overview


Based on the Changzhou market in East China, today's cash ex-warehouse price for acetylene-based PVC type 5 in East China is 4,790 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared with the previous trading day.

The domestic PVC spot market has stabilized with fluctuations, with transactions mainly at fixed prices. The market prices are fluctuating weakly within a range, and both supply and demand fundamentals are weak. The enthusiasm for procurement from end-users is lacking. In the East China region, the calcium carbide method for Type 5 cash on delivery is priced at 4720-4800 RMB/ton, while the ethylene method is priced at 4850-5100 RMB/ton.

Figure 1 Domestic PVC Price Trend (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Figure 2 Domestic PVC Price Trends in Various Regions (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Data source: Longzhong Information

3. Futures-Spot Basis

Table 2 Main Delivery Location Basis (Yuan/Ton)

Region

Previous trading day

Today

Rise and fall

Month-on-month

East China (Contract 01)

-180

-180

0

0%

Data source: Longzhong Information

The PVC basis for the January contract in the East China region is in the -100/-250 range, with the market primarily operating on a fixed-price basis.

4. Production Status

Table 3   PVC List of Maintenance Equipment  

Company Name

Process

Capacity: 10,000 tons

Remarks

Equipment change

Recovery Plan

Taishan Salt Chemical

Carbide method

10

Parking

2022 September 29

Pending

Shandong Dongyue

Calcium Carbide Method

13

Parking

2023 March 25, 20XX

To be determined

Wuhai Chemical

Calcium carbide method

40

Parking

2023 July 23rd

To be determined

Gansu Jinchuan Xinrong

Calcium Carbide Method

20

Parking

2023 July 12, [year]

To be determined

Cangzhou Julong

Ethylene method

52

Parking

2024 September 20, [year]

Pending

Suzhou Huasu

Ethylene Method

13

Parking

2025 April 26th

Pending

Zhenyang Development

Vinyl method

30

Breakdown Parking

2025 August 19, Year

Pending

Zhongtai Shengxiong

Calcium carbide process

55

Saint Hero Maintenance

2025 September 15, 2023

2025 September 23, 2024

Shaanxi Beiyuan

Calcium carbide method

75

Rotational rest

2025 September 10, 2024

2025 September 17th

Shaanxi Beiyuan

Calcium Carbide Method

50

Rotational rest

2025 September 20, 2024

2025 September 26, Year

Gansu Jinchuan

Carbide method

30

Maintenance

2025 September 10th

2025 September 20, 2024

Ningxia Yinglite

Carbide method

13

Maintenance

2025 September 18th

2025 September 23, [year]

Heilongjiang Haohua

Calcium carbide method

25

Maintenance

2025 September 17, 20xx

2025 September 20th

Haohua Aerospace

Calcium carbide process

20

9 Mid-month maintenance for one week.

2025 September 16th

2025 September 23, 2023

Taizhou Liancheng

Ethylene process

60

Power grid maintenance

2025 September 17, Year

2025 September 22, [year]

Shanxi Ruiheng

Calcium Carbide Method

20

Factory 1 maintenance for one week

   

Inner Mongolia Junzheng

Calcium Carbide Method

36

Mengxi Plant Maintenance

   

Hangjin

Calcium carbide method

4

Maintenance

2025 October 20th

2025 October 30, [year]

Lutai Chemical

Carbide method

37

10 Monthly Maintenance

   

Inner Mongolia Yili

Calcium carbide method

50

Planned Maintenance

   

Shandong Xinfang

Calcium Carbide Method

75

10 End of the month to November maintenance

   

Salt Lake Magnesium's facility is back in operation, and Dongcao plans maintenance in October.

Figure 4 Domestic PVC Maintenance Loss and Price Linkage Trend Chart

Figure 5 Comparison of PVC Capacity Utilization Rate and Price

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Source of data: Longzhong Information

5. Price Prediction

Macroeconomic expectations have been underperforming, and abnormal fluctuations in supply and demand in the black sector have slightly affected market prices. Overall, support has weakened. The PVC spot market remains stalemated; supply decreased during the week due to maintenance, while demand has not continuously improved. Export sentiment remains cautious, and price competition poses resistance. Inventory accumulation in the industry has continued to slow down during the week. In the short term, spot supply and demand remain stalemated, and the impact of macroeconomic expectations is diminishing. PVC is expected to maintain a weak oscillation within a range. It is forecasted that the East China region's calcium carbide-based five-type cash warehouse price will be in the range of 4680-4850 RMB/ton.

6. Related Products

Calcium carbide The mainstream trading price of calcium carbide in the Wuhai region has been increased by 50 yuan/ton to 2550 yuan/ton.

Ethylene The estimated CFR China price for ethylene at ports is around $840-860/ton. Due to tight supply, market prices continue to rise.

7. Data Calendar

Table 4 PVC Data Calendar Overview

Data

Release Date

Previous data

Trend Forecast

PVC utilization rate

Thursday 5:30 PM

79.94%

Weekly PVC Production

Thursday 5:00 PM

47.88

PVC production enterprise factory inventory

Thursday 5:00 PM

See data terminal

PVC Third-Party Social Inventory

Thursday 5:00 PM

93.42

Export Volume of PVC Manufacturing Enterprises

Friday 12:00 AM

See data terminal

PVC downstream product enterprises' operating rate

Friday 5:00 PM

View data terminal

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Remarks:

1. Consider significant fluctuations as large swings, highlighting data dimensions with a change exceeding 3%.

2. ↗↘ is regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%.

 

【Copyright and Disclaimer】The above information is collected and organized by PlastMatch. The copyright belongs to the original author. This article is reprinted for the purpose of providing more information, and it does not imply that PlastMatch endorses the views expressed in the article or guarantees its accuracy. If there are any errors in the source attribution or if your legitimate rights have been infringed, please contact us, and we will promptly correct or remove the content. If other media, websites, or individuals use the aforementioned content, they must clearly indicate the original source and origin of the work and assume legal responsibility on their own.

1000+  Daily Updated Global Business Leads,2M+ Global Company Database.Click to download the app.

Purchase request Download app