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[PP Morning Insight] Polypropylene (PP) Market Expected to Trade in a Range Today

Longzhong 2025-08-08 09:12:20

I. Points of Attention

1 The bearish sentiment from OPEC+ production increases continues, and the U.S. sanctions plan has yet to trigger significant concerns, resulting in six consecutive declines in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures September contract closed at $63.88 per barrel, down $0.47, a decrease of 0.73% from the previous session; ICE Brent crude oil futures October contract closed at $66.43 per barrel, down $0.46, a decrease of 0.69% from the previous session. China's INE crude oil futures main contract 2510 rose by 0.4 to 499.9 yuan per barrel, but fell by 6.1 to 493.8 yuan per barrel in the night session.

2 Propylene FOB Korea rises 5 to 740 dollars. / ton CFR China rises 5 points 775 US Dollar / ton.

3 The average polypropylene capacity utilization rate for this period is 77.31%, an increase of 0.37% compared to the previous period; Sinopec's capacity utilization rate is 79.57%, a decrease of 0.16% compared to the previous period.

4 This week, the domestic polypropylene output was 777,100 tons, an increase of 3,800 tons (0.49%) compared to last week's 773,300 tons. Compared to the same period last year (662,800 tons), it increased by 114,300 tons, a rise of 17.25%.

Core logic: The downstream market participation is weak, and sluggish demand follow-up is putting pressure on PP prices.

2. Price List

Product

Category

8 6th of the month

8 July 7

Price Change Percentage

Unit

Crude oil

NYMEX

64.35

63.88

-0.47

USD/barrel

ICE Cloth oil

66.89

76.43

-0.46

USD/barrel

Propylene

Domestic propylene

6260

6275

+15

Yuan/ton

Methanol

Domestic Methanol

2365

2365

0

Yuan/ton

PP Main futures contract

Closing price

7078

7075

-3

Yuan/ton

Mainstream Price of Wire Drawing

Zibo

7082

7080

-2

CNY/ton

Ningbo

7069

7067

-2

Yuan/ton

Guangzhou

7214

7201

-13

Yuan/ton

Related Products

PP Powder

6850

6870

+20

Yuan/ton

PE

7484

7505

-2

Yuan/ton

Note:

  1 The above prices in RMB are all telegraphic transfer prices including tax.

  2 The prices for the two periods are the point prices from the previous two work weeks before this week, not the weekly average prices.

  3 The increase and decrease range refers to the month-on-month rate of change.

3. Market Outlook

OPEC+ The bearish atmosphere of increased production continues, with international oil prices falling for six consecutive sessions, weakening support from the cost side. On the supply side, production companies are still densely conducting equipment maintenance, but due to the impact of new capacity, supply pressure remains. Downstream factories have limited follow-up on new orders, showing weak market participation enthusiasm. The sluggish demand follow-up is putting pressure on PP prices, and it is expected that the polypropylene market today may...Range oscillation.

4. Data Calendar

Data Project

Release Date

Previous data

This period's trend is expected

Unit

PP Total Inventory

Wednesday 4:30 PM

85.66

Ten thousand tons

PP Capacity Utilization Rate of Manufacturing Enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

77.31%

%

PP Weekly Maintenance Impact Factors

Thursday 4:30 PM

15.86

Ten thousand tons

Total Domestic PP Production

Thursday 4:30 PM

77.71

Ten thousand tons

Profit of Oil-based PP Enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

-191.91

CNY/ton

Profit of coal-based PP enterprises

Thursday 4:30 PM

479.87

CNY/ton

PDH PP Manufacturing Enterprise Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-385.52

Yuan/ton

PP Import Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-521.97

CNY/ton

PP Export Profit

Thursday 4:30 PM

-13.62

USD/ton

1 Regard "↓↑" as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with a change exceeding 3%.

2 "Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise and fall range within 0-3%."

 

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