[PP Morning Insight] Polypropylene (PP) Market Expected to Trade in a Range Today
I. Points of Attention
1 The bearish sentiment from OPEC+ production increases continues, and the U.S. sanctions plan has yet to trigger significant concerns, resulting in six consecutive declines in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures September contract closed at $63.88 per barrel, down $0.47, a decrease of 0.73% from the previous session; ICE Brent crude oil futures October contract closed at $66.43 per barrel, down $0.46, a decrease of 0.69% from the previous session. China's INE crude oil futures main contract 2510 rose by 0.4 to 499.9 yuan per barrel, but fell by 6.1 to 493.8 yuan per barrel in the night session.
2 Propylene FOB Korea rises 5 to 740 dollars. / ton CFR China rises 5 points 775 US Dollar / ton.
3 The average polypropylene capacity utilization rate for this period is 77.31%, an increase of 0.37% compared to the previous period; Sinopec's capacity utilization rate is 79.57%, a decrease of 0.16% compared to the previous period.
4 This week, the domestic polypropylene output was 777,100 tons, an increase of 3,800 tons (0.49%) compared to last week's 773,300 tons. Compared to the same period last year (662,800 tons), it increased by 114,300 tons, a rise of 17.25%.
Core logic: The downstream market participation is weak, and sluggish demand follow-up is putting pressure on PP prices. 。
2. Price List
Product |
Category |
8 6th of the month |
8 July 7 |
Price Change Percentage |
Unit |
Crude oil |
NYMEX |
64.35 |
63.88 |
-0.47 |
USD/barrel |
ICE Cloth oil |
66.89 |
76.43 |
-0.46 |
USD/barrel |
|
Propylene |
Domestic propylene |
6260 |
6275 |
+15 |
Yuan/ton |
Methanol |
Domestic Methanol |
2365 |
2365 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
PP Main futures contract |
Closing price |
7078 |
7075 |
-3 |
Yuan/ton |
Mainstream Price of Wire Drawing |
Zibo |
7082 |
7080 |
-2 |
CNY/ton |
Ningbo |
7069 |
7067 |
-2 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Guangzhou |
7214 |
7201 |
-13 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Related Products |
PP Powder |
6850 |
6870 |
+20 |
Yuan/ton |
PE |
7484 |
7505 |
-2 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Note: |
|||||
1 The above prices in RMB are all telegraphic transfer prices including tax. |
|||||
2 The prices for the two periods are the point prices from the previous two work weeks before this week, not the weekly average prices. |
|||||
3 The increase and decrease range refers to the month-on-month rate of change. |
3. Market Outlook
OPEC+ The bearish atmosphere of increased production continues, with international oil prices falling for six consecutive sessions, weakening support from the cost side. On the supply side, production companies are still densely conducting equipment maintenance, but due to the impact of new capacity, supply pressure remains. Downstream factories have limited follow-up on new orders, showing weak market participation enthusiasm. The sluggish demand follow-up is putting pressure on PP prices, and it is expected that the polypropylene market today may...Range oscillation.
4. Data Calendar
Data Project |
Release Date |
Previous data |
This period's trend is expected |
Unit |
PP Total Inventory |
Wednesday 4:30 PM |
85.66 |
↑ |
Ten thousand tons |
PP Capacity Utilization Rate of Manufacturing Enterprises |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
77.31% |
↑ |
% |
PP Weekly Maintenance Impact Factors |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
15.86 |
↓ |
Ten thousand tons |
Total Domestic PP Production |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
77.71 |
↑ |
Ten thousand tons |
Profit of Oil-based PP Enterprises |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-191.91 |
↑ |
CNY/ton |
Profit of coal-based PP enterprises |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
479.87 |
↓ |
CNY/ton |
PDH PP Manufacturing Enterprise Profit |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-385.52 |
↓ |
Yuan/ton |
PP Import Profit |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-521.97 |
↓ |
CNY/ton |
PP Export Profit |
Thursday 4:30 PM |
-13.62 |
↓ |
USD/ton |
1 Regard "↓↑" as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with a change exceeding 3%. 2 "Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise and fall range within 0-3%." |
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