【POM Monthly Review】Monthly Drop of 500-750! Weak Trading Sentiment, POM Offer Focus Shifts Downward

1. Hot Topics of the Month

Domestic raw material manufacturers' ex-factory prices have been cumulatively reduced by 300-800 yuan/ton.

Yankuang Luhua Phase II POM unit shutdown for maintenance.

3） The market shipment is slow, and the market offer focus is shifting downward. 。

2. Market Analysis for This Month

Domestic POM Market Price Weekly Fluctuation Table

Unit: yuan/ton

In March, the domestic POM market focus declined. In the early part of the month, POM petrochemical plants gradually accumulated inventory, and the market fundamentals lacked support. The market sales remained weak, and traders had room for price concessions. Given the limited operating load downstream, the short-term focus was on digesting inventory, with actual transactions based on rigid demand; in the middle of the month, some manufacturers raised their ex-factory prices, strengthening the fundamentals. However, due to weak demand, traders had relatively flexible operating space, with some quotations slightly adjusted upwards. A few traders offered small price concessions to promote transactions, but downstream procurement enthusiasm was not high, and actual transactions focused on negotiations; in the latter part of the month, POM petrochemical plants had high inventory, and the fundamentals performed poorly. Domestic manufacturers collectively reduced their ex-factory prices, dampening market sentiment. Traders continued to sell at low prices, with mainstream quotations falling narrowly. Downstream buyers mostly held a cautious and观望attitude, and transactions continued to be negotiated.

3. Market Impact Factor Analysis

1) The mainstream报价 for POM in the East China market is 13,900 yuan per ton, which is 500 yuan per ton lower than the price from the previous month.

The POM capacity utilization rate is 96.52%, an increase of 1.07% compared to the same period last month.

3) The POM cost profit is 2517 yuan per ton, which is a reduction of 188 yuan per ton compared to the same period last month.

4. Market Forecast for Next Month

In the first half of April, due to insufficient follow-up on demand orders, the pressure on POM petrochemical plants to clear inventory remained unrelieved, with some manufacturers potentially continuing to lower ex-factory prices. Coupled with persistently weak trading sentiment across regions, market confidence was largely dampened, leaving traders under pressure to sell and likely maintaining low-price strategies. As a result, the overall market quotation trend was expected to decline. In the second half of April, Yankuang Luhua's second-phase POM plant resumed operations, increasing total supply. However, with no clear market guidance, as low-price offers gradually emerged, traders adopted a cautious and wait-and-see approach. Mainstream quotations were anticipated to remain stable without significant fluctuations. Therefore, the market in April was projected to decline first and then stabilize.