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PE Morning Tip: Expected Price Fluctuation With Weak Trend

Longzhong 2025-09-24 08:38:14

I. Focus Points

1 Cost side: The instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation still exists, and the U.S. sanctions against certain oil-producing countries may escalate, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract rose by $1.13 per barrel to $63.41, an increase of 1.81% month-on-month; ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract rose by $1.06 per barrel to $67.63, an increase of 1.59% month-on-month.

2 Current parking device: Currently, 27 polyethylene units are involved in shutdowns, and there are no new units under maintenance.

3 Market Review of Yesterday: On the previous day, the domestic polyethylene market saw most prices decline, with a range of 1-18 yuan/ton. Cost support weakened, and supply-demand conflicts still existed. Traders continued to offer discounts to promote transactions, leading to a poor market atmosphere.

Core logic: Macro has no positive guidance at the moment.   Price weakness continues.

II. Price List

Variety

Category

2025/9/22

2025/9/23

Change in value

Change in percentage

HDPE

Low-pressure film material

8018  

8017

-1  

-0.01%

HDPE

Low-pressure low-melt injection molding plastic

7464

7446

-18

-0.24%

HDPE

Low-pressure drawn material

7882

7879

-3

-0.04%

HDPE

Low-pressure small medium hollow material

7530

7531

1

0.01%

LDPE

High-pressure film material

9613

9598

-15

-0.16%

LLDPE

Linear melt index 2 film material

7386

7368

-18

-0.24%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

The new equipment is about to be put into operation, with an expected increase in supply; downstream operations are improving, but market sentiment is heavily cautious. There are no favorable macroeconomic indicators, so the focus returns to the fundamentals, leading to a price trend that is volatile and slightly weak.

IV. Data Calendar

Data

Release Date

Previous Data

Next period trend forecast

PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons)

Wednesday 5:00 PM

49.03

PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory

Tuesday 5:00 PM

-2.45%

PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

63.10

PE Maintenance Impact Volume (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

12.52

PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate

Thursday at 5:00 PM

80.36%

PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

0.75%

PE Mindset Research

Thursday 12:00AM

-4.45%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Remark:

1 Consider significant fluctuations as those with increases or decreases exceeding 3% in data dimensions.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%.

 

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