PE Morning Tip: Expected Price Fluctuation With Weak Trend
I. Focus Points
1 Cost side: The instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation still exists, and the U.S. sanctions against certain oil-producing countries may escalate, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract rose by $1.13 per barrel to $63.41, an increase of 1.81% month-on-month; ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract rose by $1.06 per barrel to $67.63, an increase of 1.59% month-on-month. 。
2 Current parking device: Currently, 27 polyethylene units are involved in shutdowns, and there are no new units under maintenance.
3 Market Review of Yesterday: On the previous day, the domestic polyethylene market saw most prices decline, with a range of 1-18 yuan/ton. Cost support weakened, and supply-demand conflicts still existed. Traders continued to offer discounts to promote transactions, leading to a poor market atmosphere.
Core logic: Macro has no positive guidance at the moment. Price weakness continues.
II. Price List
|
Variety |
Category |
2025/9/22 |
2025/9/23 |
Change in value |
Change in percentage |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
8018 |
8017 |
-1 |
-0.01% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melt injection molding plastic |
7464 |
7446 |
-18 |
-0.24% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure drawn material |
7882 |
7879 |
-3 |
-0.04% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure small medium hollow material |
7530 |
7531 |
1 |
0.01% |
|
LDPE |
High-pressure film material |
9613 |
9598 |
-15 |
-0.16% |
|
LLDPE |
Linear melt index 2 film material |
7386 |
7368 |
-18 |
-0.24% |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
|||||
3. Market Outlook
The new equipment is about to be put into operation, with an expected increase in supply; downstream operations are improving, but market sentiment is heavily cautious. There are no favorable macroeconomic indicators, so the focus returns to the fundamentals, leading to a price trend that is volatile and slightly weak.
IV. Data Calendar
|
Data |
Release Date |
Previous Data |
Next period trend forecast |
|
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
49.03 |
↘ |
|
PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
-2.45% |
↗ |
|
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
63.10 |
↗ |
|
PE Maintenance Impact Volume (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
12.52 |
↘ |
|
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday at 5:00 PM |
80.36% |
↗ |
|
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.75% |
↗ |
|
PE Mindset Research |
Thursday 12:00AM |
-4.45% |
↘ |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information Remark: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as those with increases or decreases exceeding 3% in data dimensions. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%. |
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