[PE Morning Briefing] Limited Marginal Improvement in Supply and Demand, Prices Continue Range-bound Movement
1. Focus Points
1 Cost side: The instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation persists, coupled with the remaining benefits of the US traditional peak fuel consumption season, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract increased by $0.45 per barrel to $64.60, a rise of 0.70% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the October contract increased by $0.57 per barrel to $68.62, a rise of 0.84% compared to the previous period. 。
2 Current parking device: Currently, parking facilities involve 28 sets of polyethylene units, with the addition of the Qilu Petrochemical unit undergoing maintenance.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: The domestic polyethylene market prices slightly declined yesterday, with a decrease of 1-5 yuan/ton. Downstream buyers resist high prices and show weak willingness to restock. Traders mostly offer discounts to clear inventory, resulting in sluggish transactions.
Core logic: Limited marginal improvement in supply and demand; prices continue to fluctuate within a range.
2. Price List Form
Variety |
Category |
2025/8/27 |
2025/8/28 |
Change in Value |
Change in price percentage |
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
8003 |
8002 |
-1 |
-0.01% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic |
7573 |
7572 |
-1 |
-0.01% |
HDPE |
Low voltage drawing material |
7980 |
7978 |
-2 |
-0.03% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure small and medium hollow materials |
7592 |
7591 |
-1 |
-0.01% |
LDPE |
High-voltage film material |
9699 |
9694 |
-5 |
-0.05% |
LLDPE |
Linear melt index 2 film grade |
7466 |
7461 |
-5 |
-0.07% |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
3. Market Outlook
At the end of the month, there are few spot market resources available, and supply faces no pressure; downstream operating rates are improving slowly, with purchases mostly made to meet just-in-time demand. Costs provide slight support, so overall, the marginal improvement in supply and demand is limited, and prices continue to fluctuate within a range.
4. Data Calendar
Data |
Release Date |
Previous Data |
Next period trend forecast |
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 Tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
50.19 |
↘ |
PE Social Sample Repository Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
0.99% |
↘ |
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
61.78 |
↗ |
PE Maintenance Impact Volume (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
13.20 |
↘ |
PE Weekly capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
78.68% |
↗ |
PE Capacity Utilization Rate of Downstream Industries |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.30% |
↗ |
PE Mentality Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
-5.45% |
↘ |
Data Source: Longzhong Information Remarks: 1 Treat ↓↑ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions where the increase or decrease exceeds 3%. 2 Regard ↗↘ as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%. |
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