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[PE Morning Briefing] Limited Marginal Improvement in Supply and Demand, Prices Continue Range-bound Movement

Longzhong 2025-08-29 08:39:25

1. Focus Points

1 Cost side: The instability of the Russia-Ukraine situation persists, coupled with the remaining benefits of the US traditional peak fuel consumption season, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract increased by $0.45 per barrel to $64.60, a rise of 0.70% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the October contract increased by $0.57 per barrel to $68.62, a rise of 0.84% compared to the previous period.

2 Current parking device: Currently, parking facilities involve 28 sets of polyethylene units, with the addition of the Qilu Petrochemical unit undergoing maintenance.

3 Yesterday's Market Review: The domestic polyethylene market prices slightly declined yesterday, with a decrease of 1-5 yuan/ton. Downstream buyers resist high prices and show weak willingness to restock. Traders mostly offer discounts to clear inventory, resulting in sluggish transactions.

Core logic: Limited marginal improvement in supply and demand; prices continue to fluctuate within a range.

2. Price List Form

Variety

Category

2025/8/27

2025/8/28

Change in Value

Change in price percentage

HDPE

Low-pressure film material

8003  

8002

-1  

-0.01%

HDPE

Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic

7573

7572

-1

-0.01%

HDPE

Low voltage drawing material

7980

7978

-2

-0.03%

HDPE

Low-pressure small and medium hollow materials

7592

7591

-1

-0.01%

LDPE

High-voltage film material

9699

9694

-5

-0.05%

LLDPE

Linear melt index 2 film grade

7466

7461

-5

-0.07%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

At the end of the month, there are few spot market resources available, and supply faces no pressure; downstream operating rates are improving slowly, with purchases mostly made to meet just-in-time demand. Costs provide slight support, so overall, the marginal improvement in supply and demand is limited, and prices continue to fluctuate within a range.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Release Date

Previous Data

Next period trend forecast

PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 Tons)

Wednesday 5:00 PM

50.19

PE Social Sample Repository Inventory

Tuesday 5:00 PM

0.99%

PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

61.78

PE Maintenance Impact Volume (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

13.20

PE Weekly capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

78.68%

PE Capacity Utilization Rate of Downstream Industries

Thursday 5:00 PM

0.30%

PE Mentality Survey

Thursday 12:00 AM

-5.45%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Remarks:

1 Treat ↓↑ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions where the increase or decrease exceeds 3%.

2 Regard ↗↘ as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%.

 

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