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[pe morning brief] supply-demand game continues, price increases limited

Longzhong 2025-09-03 08:48:42

I. Points of Attention

1 Cost side: The Russia-Ukraine conflict has not yet ceased, posing potential supply risks, coupled with the continuation of U.S. sanctions on some oil-producing countries, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract rose $1.58 per barrel to $65.59, a month-over-month increase of 2.47%; ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract rose $0.99 per barrel to $69.14, a month-over-month increase of 1.45%.

2 Current Parking Device: Currently, there are 32 polyethylene units involved in the parking facility, and there are no new units under maintenance.

3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market price fell by 1-9 yuan/ton. With an expected increase in supply, traders continued to offer discounts to sell, and market transactions remained cautious.

Core Logic: Supply and demand game continues, price increase is limited.

2. Price List

Variety

Category

2025/9/1

2025/9/2

Change in value

Change in value

HDPE

Low-pressure film material

8007  

8006

-1  

-0.01%

HDPE

Low-pressure low-melting injection plastic

7544

7540

-4

-0.05%

HDPE

Low-pressure wire drawing material

7969

7969

0

0.00%

HDPE

Low-pressure small hollow material

7572

7569

-3

-0.04%

LDPE

High-pressure film material

9686

9680

-6

-0.06%

LLDPE

Linear Melt Index 2 Film Grade

7438

7429

-9

-0.12%

Data source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

At the beginning of the month, the market saw an increase in spot goods, and supply pressure still exists; downstream operations are improving slowly, with a cautious mindset. There is slight cost support, so overall, the supply and demand game continues, and price increases are limited.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Publication Date

Previous data

Next period trend forecast

PE Total inventory of manufacturing enterprises (10,000 tons)

Wednesday 5:00 PM

50.19

PE Social Sample Repository Inventory

Tuesday 5:00 PM

0.99%

PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

61.78

PE Maintenance impact volume (ten thousand tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

13.20

PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

78.68%

PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

0.30%

PE Mindset Survey

Thursday 12:00 AM

-5.45%

Data source: Longzhong Information

Remark:

1 Consider significant fluctuations as those exceeding 3% in changes, highlighting the data dimensions with such increases or decreases.

2 Regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within the range of 0-3%.

 

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