[pe morning brief] supply-demand game continues, price increases limited
I. Points of Attention
1 Cost side: The Russia-Ukraine conflict has not yet ceased, posing potential supply risks, coupled with the continuation of U.S. sanctions on some oil-producing countries, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract rose $1.58 per barrel to $65.59, a month-over-month increase of 2.47%; ICE Brent crude futures for the November contract rose $0.99 per barrel to $69.14, a month-over-month increase of 1.45%. 。
2 Current Parking Device: Currently, there are 32 polyethylene units involved in the parking facility, and there are no new units under maintenance.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market price fell by 1-9 yuan/ton. With an expected increase in supply, traders continued to offer discounts to sell, and market transactions remained cautious.
Core Logic: Supply and demand game continues, price increase is limited.
2. Price List
Variety |
Category |
2025/9/1 |
2025/9/2 |
Change in value |
Change in value |
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
8007 |
8006 |
-1 |
-0.01% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection plastic |
7544 |
7540 |
-4 |
-0.05% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure wire drawing material |
7969 |
7969 |
0 |
0.00% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure small hollow material |
7572 |
7569 |
-3 |
-0.04% |
LDPE |
High-pressure film material |
9686 |
9680 |
-6 |
-0.06% |
LLDPE |
Linear Melt Index 2 Film Grade |
7438 |
7429 |
-9 |
-0.12% |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3. Market Outlook
At the beginning of the month, the market saw an increase in spot goods, and supply pressure still exists; downstream operations are improving slowly, with a cautious mindset. There is slight cost support, so overall, the supply and demand game continues, and price increases are limited.
4. Data Calendar
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous data |
Next period trend forecast |
PE Total inventory of manufacturing enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
50.19 |
↘ |
PE Social Sample Repository Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
0.99% |
↘ |
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
61.78 |
↗ |
PE Maintenance impact volume (ten thousand tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
13.20 |
↘ |
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
78.68% |
↗ |
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.30% |
↗ |
PE Mindset Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
-5.45% |
↘ |
Data source: Longzhong Information Remark: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as those exceeding 3% in changes, highlighting the data dimensions with such increases or decreases. 2 Regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within the range of 0-3%. |
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