[pe morning brief] limited supply and demand improvement, market gains constrained
I. Points of Attention
1 Cost side: OPEC+ The bearish sentiment of increased production continues, coupled with the fact that the U.S. sanctions plan has not yet caused significant concerns, resulting in six consecutive declines in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the September contract fell by $0.47/barrel to $63.88, a decrease of 0.73% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the October contract fell by $0.46/barrel to $66.43, a decrease of 0.69% compared to the previous period. 。
2 The current parking device: Currently, parking devices involve 23 sets of polyethylene units, with new inspections at Qilu Petrochemical, Yulong Petrochemical, and Liaoyang Petrochemical units.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market saw mixed price fluctuations, ranging from 2 to 13 yuan/ton. Downstream buyers remained resistant to high prices, causing some traders to concede slightly in pricing due to hindered sales, and market transactions have not yet increased significantly.
Core Logic: Cost support loosens, supply and demand game. Market gains are limited.
2. Price List Form
Variety |
Category |
2025/8/6 |
2025/8/7 |
Change in value |
Change in Price Percentage |
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
7961 |
7961 |
0 |
0.00% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding material |
7648 |
7636 |
-12 |
-0.16% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure drawing material |
7987 |
7983 |
-4 |
-0.05% |
HDPE |
Low-pressure small hollow material |
7613 |
7613 |
0 |
0.00% |
LDPE |
High voltage film material |
9525 |
9538 |
13 |
0.14% |
LLDPE |
Linear Melt Index 2 Film Material |
7415 |
7413 |
-2 |
-0.03% |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
3. Market Outlook
The amount of maintenance has decreased, and production has increased month-on-month; downstream operations have slightly improved, while sentiment remains cautious and resistant to high prices. There is uncertainty in macroeconomic boosts, so overall, the marginal improvement in supply and demand is limited, and market gains are restricted.
4. Data Calendar
Data |
Release Date |
Previous data |
Next trend forecast |
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
51.54 |
↗ |
PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
2.49% |
↗ |
PE Weekly Output (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
66.02 |
↗ |
PE Maintenance Impact Volume (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
7.87 |
↘ |
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday, 5:00 PM |
85.72% |
↗ |
PE Downstream Industry Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.39% |
↗ |
PE Mindset Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
-0.99% |
↗↘ |
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with price changes exceeding 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise and fall range within 0-3%. |
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