[pe morning brief] fundamental changes below expectations, market gains limited
I. Points of Focus
1 On the cost side: The market continues to focus on the meeting between the US and Russian leaders, with geopolitical tensions expected to further ease, leading to a drop in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the September contract fell by $0.79 per barrel to $63.17, a decrease of 1.24% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the October contract fell by $0.51 per barrel to $66.12, a decrease of 0.77% compared to the previous period. 。
2 Current parking device: Currently, the parking facilities involve 19 sets of polyethylene units, with the newly added Fushun Petrochemical unit under maintenance.
3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market prices increased by 4-43 yuan/ton. The market was boosted by macroeconomic positives, but with limited fundamental support. Downstream buyers resisted high prices, and there was no significant increase in transactions.
Core Logic: The fundamentals have changed less than expected. Market gains are limited.
2. Price List Form
|
Variety |
Category |
2025/8/11 |
2025/8/12 |
Change in value |
Price Change Percentage |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure film material |
7961 |
7973 |
12 |
0.15% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure low-melting injection molding plastic |
7627 |
7631 |
4 |
0.05% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure wire drawing material |
7978 |
7988 |
10 |
0.13% |
|
HDPE |
Low-pressure small hollow material |
7608 |
7617 |
9 |
0.12% |
|
LDPE |
High-pressure film material |
9561 |
9604 |
43 |
0.45% |
|
LLDPE |
Linear Melt Index 2 Film Material |
7412 |
7427 |
15 |
0.20% |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
|||||
3. Market Outlook
The number of driving devices is increasing, and supply is expected to grow. Downstream operations have slightly improved, with most maintaining just-in-time purchasing. Due to uncertainties in macroeconomic stimulus, overall, the fundamental changes fall short of expectations, limiting market gains.
4. Data Calendar
|
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous Data |
Next trend forecast |
|
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons) |
Wednesday 5:00 PM |
51.54 |
↗ |
|
PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory |
Tuesday 5:00 PM |
2.49% |
↗ |
|
PE Weekly Production (Ten Thousand Tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
66.02 |
↗ |
|
PE Maintenance impact (10,000 tons) |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
7.87 |
↘ |
|
PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
85.72% |
↗ |
|
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
0.39% |
↗ |
|
PE Mindset Survey |
Thursday 12:00 AM |
-0.99% |
↗↘ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Remark: 1 Consider large fluctuations as significant, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2 View as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall range within 0-3%. |
|||
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