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[pe morning alert] prices expected to operate weakly

Longzhong 2025-10-16 08:59:50

1. Focus Points

1 Cost side: International oil prices have fallen due to market concerns about the risk of oversupply and the trade disputes initiated by the United States, which are suppressing demand prospects. NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract fell by $0.43 per barrel to $58.27, a decrease of 0.73% from the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract fell by $0.48 per barrel to $61.91, a decrease of 0.77% from the previous period.

2 Current parking device: Currently, the parking facilities involve 28 sets of polyethylene units, with no new units under maintenance.

3 Yesterday's Market Review: The previous day, the domestic polyethylene market prices fell by 1-47 yuan/ton. There remains a cautious sentiment in the market, and traders continue to sell at reduced prices, resulting in dull transactions.

Core Logic: The marginal improvement in supply and demand is limited, and prices are running weak.

2. Price List Form

Variety

Category

2025/10/14

2025/10/15

Change in value

Change in value

HDPE

Low-pressure film material

7990  

7988

-2  

-0.03%

HDPE

Low-pressure, low-melting-point injection molding plastic

7335

7322

-13

-0.18%

HDPE

Low-pressure wire drawing material

7799

7790

-9

-0.12%

HDPE

Low pressure small hollow material

7476

7475

-1

-0.01%

LDPE

High-voltage film material

9433

9386

-47

-0.50%

LLDPE

Linear Melt Index 2 Film Grade

7251

7230

-21

-0.29%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

Inventory depletion in the mid-to-upstream sectors is slow, and supply pressure remains; downstream operations are increasing, but purchasing willingness is weak. There is macroeconomic uncertainty, limited marginal improvement in supply and demand, and prices are running on the weaker side.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Release Date

Previous Data

Next trend forecast

PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons)

Wednesday 5:00 PM

52.95

PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory

Tuesday 5:00 PM

4.03%

PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

66.42

PE Maintenance Impact (10,000 tons)

Thursday 5:00 PM

8.76

PE Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

83.95%

PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

0.24%

PE Mindset Survey

Thursday 12:00 AM

5.44%

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Remarks:

1 Consider large fluctuations as significant, highlighting data dimensions with a rise or fall exceeding 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within the range of 0-3%.

 

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