【PC Market Daily Review】Down 50! Weak downstream demand persists, PC market expected to remain weak with fluctuations.
1 Today's Summary
①、Tuesday International Crude Oil Slightly Rise , ICE Brent Crude Futures 05 Contract 73.02 up 0.02 USD Yuan/barrel 。
②、 Bisphenol A East China market closing 8825 Yuan/ton, down 75 yuan/ton month-on-month. 。
③、There is no latest factory price adjustment news from domestic PC manufacturers.
2 Spot overview
Table 1 Domestic PC Price Summary (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
|
Market |
Specification |
March 25 |
March 26th |
Rise and fall value |
Change Range |
|
East China Spot exchange rate |
Covestro 2805 |
15200 |
15200 |
0 |
0 |
|
Lotte 1100 |
12650 |
12650 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Weiyuan WY-111BR |
12000 |
11950 |
-50 |
-0.42% |
|
|
South China Cash Price |
Covestro 2805 |
14000 |
14000 |
0 |
0 |
|
Rakuten 1100 |
11850 |
11850 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Lushi 1609-11 |
11550 |
11550 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
East China |
Bisphenol A |
8900 |
8825 |
-75 |
-0.84% |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
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Today, the domestic PC market remained weak and range-bound. As of the close in the afternoon, the mainstream trading prices for injection-grade low-end materials in East China were referenced at RMB 11,950-15,300 per ton, while medium to high-end materials were quoted at RMB 15,200-16,400 per ton, with some prices slightly lower by RMB 50 compared to yesterday. Domestic PC factories have not issued any recent price adjustment announcements; vendors generally maintained a wait-and-see approach with steady operations. In terms of the spot market, both East and South China remained narrowly range-bound at lower levels, with limited support from the supply side and no improvement in downstream consumption. High industry inventory levels persisted, with cautious and depressed market sentiment, leading to stable pricing with transactions on a follow-the-market basis. Downstream purchases remained limited, and trading activity was lukewarm.
|
Figure 1 East China PC Market Price Trend Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
Figure 2 Domestic PC Price Trend Chart (Unit: RMB/ton) |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production dynamics
Today, the domestic PC factory's operating capacity utilization rate is 85.36%; the price of bisphenol A in the East China market has dropped by 75 yuan/ton to 8825 yuan/ton, and the gross profit level of the domestic PC industry has increased by 17.5 yuan/ton compared to the previous working day, standing at -492.5 yuan/ton.
|
Figure 3 Weekly PC Capacity Utilization Trend in China |
Figure 4 Domestic PC Profit vs. Price Comparison Chart (Unit: RMB/ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information Group |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Forecast
Currently, the fundamentals of the domestic PC market remain weak. Although some facilities have maintenance plans in April, most shutdown periods are short, and factories generally have sufficient inventory. Recent sluggish downstream demand has been difficult to revive, with market trading activity remaining slow. Additionally, the continued decline in upstream raw material costs has also created cost-side bearish pressure on PC. Overall, the domestic PC market is expected to maintain weak and volatile movements in the short term.
5 Product-related information
Bisphenol A Market Based on East China, the price of bisphenol A today settled at 8,750-8,900 yuan/ton, with the mainstream price at 8,825 yuan/ton, down 75 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, in line with early expectations. The domestic spot market for bisphenol A remained weak, with sluggish external markets recently. Both the upstream and downstream markets of bisphenol A are undergoing downward adjustments, leading to poor overall market sentiment, and holders are offering discounts to clear inventory. Downstream demand remains limited to rigid needs, and overall market volume remains sluggish. During the day, Shandong and North China regions saw significant declines, while other regions experienced varying degrees of downturns.
6 Data Calendar
Table 2 Domestic PC Data Overview (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
|
Data |
Release Date |
Last period's data |
Current trend forecast |
|
Production capacity utilization rate |
Thursday at 4:30 PM |
85.36% |
↘ |
|
PC Average weekly profit |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
-591 |
↗ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: Translate the above content from Chinese to English and output the translation result directly without any explanation 1 Consider ↓↑ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with price changes exceeding 3%. 2 ,↗↘ are considered narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with涨跌幅在0-3%以内. Note: The phrase "涨跌幅在0-3%以内" is partially in Chinese and means "fluctuations within 0-3%". The translation is trying to maintain the structure of the original sentence while making it understandable in English. |
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