[PBT Weekly Outlook] PBT Market Expected to Remain in Wait-and-See Mode Today
1. Focus Points
1 On September 5th, the market continued to focus on the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for this Sunday, with concerns about the introduction of a new production increase plan, leading to a drop in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the October contract fell by $1.61 to $61.87 per barrel, a decrease of 2.54% from the previous day. ICE Brent futures for the November contract fell by $1.49 to $65.50 per barrel, down 2.22% from the previous day. China's INE crude oil futures for the 2510 contract fell by 1.3 to 482.3 yuan per barrel, and the night session dropped by 10.4 to 471.9 yuan per barrel.
2 PTA MarketInertia is weakening.BDO MarketRange-bound operation 。
3、 The equipment is operating normally.
Core Logic: Raw material support tends to stabilize. The PBT market is operating in a wait-and-see mode, with the market focus fluctuating within a narrow range.
2. Price List Form
|
Product |
Region |
2025/09/04 |
2025/09/05 |
Change in value |
|
|
NYMEX |
63.48 |
61.87 |
-1.61 |
|
ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures |
66.99 |
65.5 |
-1.49 |
|
|
BDO |
|
7300-7500 |
7300-7500 |
0/ 0 |
|
PTA |
|
4615 |
4585 |
-30 |
|
PBT |
|
7650-7900 |
7650-7900 |
0/ 0 |
|
Note: 1 、 PTA Using the national standard premium grade spot exchange self-pickup price. BDO Provide the price for the acceptance of the drainage water. PBT Select mid-to-low viscosity pure resin slices for acceptance and delivery pricing. |
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3. Market Outlook
The PBT market is expected to operate with a wait-and-see attitude today.Material Surface PTAOil prices are weakening with a lack of positive drivers from external markets. This week, domestic supply is expected to increase clearly, while demand during the traditional peak season is slowly improving. The supply and demand situation remains tight, and the balance sheet continues to show inventory depletion. Additionally, processing fees are persistently low. This week, the domestic PTA market is expected to bottom out and rebound. ;BDO The cautious sentiment in the market has increased, and the purchasing atmosphere from end-users with just-in-time demand is decent. Suppliers are not under significant pressure to sell, maintaining a stable market mindset, which limits operational flexibility. The mainstream quotes from holders remain stable, and the overall market situation is calm and steady. The overall cost trend is stable with a slight increase, providing some support to the PBT market, while downstream and end-users are entering the market with a wait-and-see approach. The stalemate in the supply and demand game continues. Longzhong predicts that today the price of medium and low viscosity PBT resin in the East China market will be around 7,650-7,900 yuan/ton.
4. Data Calendar
|
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous data |
This period's trend is expected |
|
PBT Weekly Output |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
23,800 ton |
- |
|
PBT Weekly Profit |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
-379 Yuan/ton |
↘ |
|
PBT Weekly Start of Work |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
56.11 % |
- |
|
1 Consider significant fluctuations as large changes; highlight data dimensions with a fluctuation of more than 3%. |
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|
2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlight data with fluctuations within a range of 0-3%. |
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