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[pbt weekly outlook] pbt market expected to be weak and volatile today

Longzhong 2025-08-18 08:58:51

I. Focus Points

1 On August 15, the market awaits the outcome of the meeting between the US and Russian leaders. The geopolitical situation is expected to further ease, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the September contract fell by $1.16 per barrel to $62.80, a decrease of 1.81% compared to the previous period. ICE Brent crude futures for the October contract fell by $0.99 per barrel to $65.85, a decrease of 1.48% compared to the previous period. China's INE crude oil futures for the 2510 contract rose by 3.0 to 488.9 yuan per barrel, but fell by 4.8 to 484.1 yuan per barrel during the night session.

2 PTA marketStalemate arrangementBDO MarketWeak operation

3、 Some maintenance equipment in the equipment section is started up.

Core logic: The support from raw materials weakens. The PBT market is weak and observing, with a pessimistic market sentiment.

2. Price List Form

Product

Region

2025/08/14

2025/08/15

Change in value

NYMEX

63.96

62.8

-1.16

ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures

66.84

65.85

-0.99

BDO

7500-7700

7500-7700

0/ 0

PTA

4646

4659

13

PBT

7600-8000

7600-8000

0/ 0

Note: 1 PTA Use the national standard premium spot exchange self-pickup price. BDO For the price of acceptance for drainage delivery, PBT Select medium-to-low viscosity pure resin chips with payment upon delivery.
      2
The crude oil unit is in USD. / Buckets, others 3 The above varieties are priced in RMB, unit: yuan. / Ton.
      3
The rise and fall value is the month-on-month change value.

3. Market Outlook

It is expected that today's PBT market will fluctuate weakly.PTA FuturesThis week, domestic supply continues to grow, with both supply and demand sides continuing to weaken. The balance sheet has an expectation of inventory accumulation, the industry chain continues to be weak, and there is a lack of substantial external positive support. The cost side lacks support, so this week, the domestic PTA market continues its weak and volatile pattern. ;BDO Supply and demand contradictions persist, traders' operating sentiment is not good, main contracts are being ordered, spot negotiations are sluggish, as the settlement period approaches, market participants' wait-and-see sentiment increases, mainstream offers remain stable, concessions are made cautiously, and the market remains stagnant after the decline. There is an expectation of easing in the downward trend on the cost front. PBT The market may continue its selling sentiment, while downstream and end-users enter the market with a wait-and-see approach. Longzhong expects that the price of low to medium viscosity PBT resin in the East China market today will be 7550-8000 yuan/ton.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Publication Date

Previous Data

This issue's trend forecast

PBT Weekly production

Thursday 5:00 PM

22,200 Ton

PBT Weekly Profit

Thursday 5:00 PM

-441 CNY/ton

PBT Weekly start of work

Thursday 5:00 PM

52.30 %

1 The symbols ↓↑ indicate significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with an increase or decrease exceeding 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a price change within 0-3%.

 

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