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[pbt morning update] expected today pbt market to continue watching and running

Longzhong 2025-10-16 08:42:45

I. Points of Attention

1 On October 15, concerns about the risk of oversupply and the trade disputes initiated by the United States suppressing demand prospects led to a decline in international oil prices. The NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract fell by $0.43 to $58.27 per barrel, a decrease of 0.73% compared to the previous day. The ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract fell by $0.48 to $61.91 per barrel, a decrease of 0.77% compared to the previous day. The China INE crude oil futures for the December 2025 contract fell by 7.6 to 444.9 yuan per barrel, with a further decline of 1.9 to 443 yuan per barrel in the night session.

2 PTA marketUnderperformingBDO MarketWeakened operation

3、 The equipment is in normal production.

Core logic: Raw material support is generally. The market sentiment among traders is pessimistic, and the PBT market is operating weakly.

2. Price List Form

Product

Region

2025/10/14

2025/10/15

Change in Value

NYMEX

58.7

58.27

-0.43

ICE Brent Crude Futures

62.39

61.91

-0.48

BDO

7300-7500

7300-7500

0/ 0

PTA

4385

4325

-60

PBT

7450-7750

7450-7750

0/ 0

Remark: 1 PTA Adopt the spot exchange price for premium grade as per national standards, self-pickup. BDO For the delivery price of scattered water acceptance, PBT Select medium to low viscosity pure resin chips for delivery at the agreed price.
      2
The crude oil unit is in USD. / Buckets, others 3 The variety is priced in RMB, unit: yuan / ton.
      3
The rise and fall value is the month-on-month change value.

3. Market Outlook

It is expected that today's PBT market will continue to operate in a wait-and-see manner.Raw Material PTA Demand expectations remain weak, international oil prices continue to decline, overall market sentiment is sluggish, downstream purchasing enthusiasm is hindered, and the market lacks positive support. In the short term, the PTA market continues its weak pattern. ;BDO The supplier maintains a stable market mentality, but downstream demand is generally moderate, with many focusing on inventory consumption or just-in-time contract purchasing, limiting raw material trends. Holders negotiate according to the market, resulting in a stalemate in market dynamics. The cost trend is unlikely to improve. PBT fundamentals are unlikely to have positive expectations for negotiations. The focus may continue to operate weakly and steadily. Longzhong expects that the price of low to medium viscosity PBT resin in the East China market today will be 7,450-7,750 yuan/ton.

4. Data Calendar

Data

Release Date

Previous Data

The trend for this period is expected

PBT Weekly Output

Thursday 5:00 PM

2.26 Ten thousand ton

PBT Weekly Profit

Thursday 5:00 PM

-324 Yuan/Ton

PBT Weekly Start

Thursday 5:00 PM

53.14 %

1 Consider a large fluctuation as a significant change, highlighting data dimensions with an increase or decrease of over 3%.

2 Regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlight data with changes within the range of 0-3%.

 

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