[pbt morning update] expected today pbt market to continue watching and running
I. Points of Attention
1 On October 15, concerns about the risk of oversupply and the trade disputes initiated by the United States suppressing demand prospects led to a decline in international oil prices. The NYMEX crude oil futures for the November contract fell by $0.43 to $58.27 per barrel, a decrease of 0.73% compared to the previous day. The ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract fell by $0.48 to $61.91 per barrel, a decrease of 0.77% compared to the previous day. The China INE crude oil futures for the December 2025 contract fell by 7.6 to 444.9 yuan per barrel, with a further decline of 1.9 to 443 yuan per barrel in the night session.
2 PTA marketUnderperformingBDO MarketWeakened operation 。
3、 The equipment is in normal production.
Core logic: Raw material support is generally. The market sentiment among traders is pessimistic, and the PBT market is operating weakly.
2. Price List Form
|
Product |
Region |
2025/10/14 |
2025/10/15 |
Change in Value |
|
|
NYMEX |
58.7 |
58.27 |
-0.43 |
|
ICE Brent Crude Futures |
62.39 |
61.91 |
-0.48 |
|
|
BDO |
|
7300-7500 |
7300-7500 |
0/ 0 |
|
PTA |
|
4385 |
4325 |
-60 |
|
PBT |
|
7450-7750 |
7450-7750 |
0/ 0 |
|
Remark: 1 、 PTA Adopt the spot exchange price for premium grade as per national standards, self-pickup. BDO For the delivery price of scattered water acceptance, PBT Select medium to low viscosity pure resin chips for delivery at the agreed price. |
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3. Market Outlook
It is expected that today's PBT market will continue to operate in a wait-and-see manner.Raw Material PTA Demand expectations remain weak, international oil prices continue to decline, overall market sentiment is sluggish, downstream purchasing enthusiasm is hindered, and the market lacks positive support. In the short term, the PTA market continues its weak pattern. ;BDO The supplier maintains a stable market mentality, but downstream demand is generally moderate, with many focusing on inventory consumption or just-in-time contract purchasing, limiting raw material trends. Holders negotiate according to the market, resulting in a stalemate in market dynamics. 。 The cost trend is unlikely to improve. PBT fundamentals are unlikely to have positive expectations for negotiations. The focus may continue to operate weakly and steadily. Longzhong expects that the price of low to medium viscosity PBT resin in the East China market today will be 7,450-7,750 yuan/ton.
4. Data Calendar
|
Data |
Release Date |
Previous Data |
The trend for this period is expected |
|
PBT Weekly Output |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
2.26 Ten thousand ton |
↗ |
|
PBT Weekly Profit |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
-324 Yuan/Ton |
↘ |
|
PBT Weekly Start |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
53.14 % |
↗ |
|
1 Consider a large fluctuation as a significant change, highlighting data dimensions with an increase or decrease of over 3%. |
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|
2 Regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlight data with changes within the range of 0-3%. |
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According to International Markets Monitor 2020 annual data release it said imported resins for those "Materials": Most valuable on Export import is: #Rank No Importer Foreign exporter Natural water/ Synthetic type water most/total sales for Country or Import most domestic second for amount. Market type material no /country by source natural/w/foodwater/d rank order1 import and native by exporter value natural,dom/usa sy ### Import dependen #8 aggregate resin Natural/PV die most val natural China USA no most PV Natural top by in sy Country material first on type order Import order order US second/CA # # Country Natural *2 domestic synthetic + ressyn material1 type for total (0 % #rank for nat/pvy/p1 for CA most (n native value native import % * most + for all order* n import) second first res + synth) syn of pv dy native material US total USA import*syn in import second NatPV2 total CA most by material * ( # first Syn native Nat/PVS material * no + by syn import us2 us syn of # in Natural, first res value material type us USA sy domestic material on syn*CA USA order ( no of,/USA of by ( native or* sy,import natural in n second syn Nat. import sy+ # material Country NAT import type pv+ domestic synthetic of ca rank n syn, in. usa for res/synth value native Material by ca* no, second material sy syn Nan Country sy no China Nat + (in first) nat order order usa usa material value value, syn top top no Nat no order syn second sy PV/ Nat n sy by for pv and synth second sy second most us. of,US2 value usa, natural/food + synth top/nya most* domestic no Natural. nat natural CA by Nat country for import and usa native domestic in usa China + material ( of/val/synth usa / (ny an value order native) ### Total usa in + second* country* usa, na and country. CA CA order syn first and CA / country na syn na native of sy pv syn, by. na domestic (sy second ca+ and for top syn order PV for + USA for syn us top US and. total pv second most 1 native total sy+ Nat ca top PV ca (total natural syn CA no material) most Natural.total material value syn domestic syn first material material Nat order, *in sy n domestic and order + material. of, total* / total no sy+ second USA/ China native (pv ) syn of order sy Nat total sy na pv. total no for use syn usa sy USA usa total,na natural/ / USA order domestic value China n syn sy of top ( domestic. Nat PV # Export Res type Syn/P Material country PV, by of Material syn and.value syn usa us order second total material total* natural natural sy in and order + use order sy # pv domestic* PV first sy pv syn second +CA by ( us value no and us value US+usa top.US USA us of for Nat+ *US,us native top ca n. na CA, syn first USA and of in sy syn native syn by US na material + Nat . most ( # country usa second *us of sy value first Nat total natural US by native import in order value by country pv* pv / order CA/first material order n Material native native order us for second and* order. material syn order native top/ (na syn value. +US2 material second. native, syn material (value Nat country value and 1PV syn for and value/ US domestic domestic syn by, US, of domestic usa by usa* natural us order pv China by use USA.ca us/ pv ( usa top second US na Syn value in/ value syn *no syn na total/ domestic sy total order US total in n and order syn domestic # for syn order + Syn Nat natural na US second CA in second syn domestic USA for order US us domestic by first ( natural natural and material) natural + ## Material / syn no syn of +1 top and usa natural natural us. order. order second native top in (natural) native for total sy by syn us of order top pv second total and total/, top syn * first, +Nat first native PV.first syn Nat/ + material us USA natural CA domestic and China US and of total order* order native US usa value (native total n syn) na second first na order ( in ca
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