[PBT Morning Tips] Holders are cautious about the future market. Today's PBT market is weak and waiting.
I. Focus Points
1 March 31: The U.S. indicated that it has not ruled out the option of taking military action against Iran, causing market concerns over potential supply risks to intensify. As a result, international oil prices rose. NYMEXCrude Oil FuturesThe May contract for WTI crude oil rose by $2.12 to $71.48 per barrel, an increase of 3.06%; the ICE Brent crude oil futures contract for May rose by $1.11 to $74.74 per barrel, an increase of 1.51%. China's INE crude oil futures main contract for May fell by 4.3 to 537.4 yuan per barrel, but during the overnight session it rose by 16.5 to 553.9 yuan per barrel. 。
2 、 PTA marketContinuously declining , BDO market Observing operation 。
3 Stable production in terms of equipment.
Core Logic : Cost side support is weak The PBT market is operating weakly. , transactions maintain rigid demand 。
II. Price List
Product |
Region |
2025/03/28 |
2025/03/31 |
Change Value |
crude oil |
NYMEX |
69.36 |
71.48 |
2.12 |
ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures |
73.63 |
74.74 |
1.11 |
|
BDO |
East China |
7900-8000 |
7900-8000 |
0/ 0 |
PTA |
East China |
4905 |
4840 |
-65 |
PBT |
East China |
7850-8200 |
7850-8200 |
0/ 0 |
Note: 1 、 PTA At par value, the price is for premium grade spot goods in cash and self-pickup. BDO The price for the delivery of the payment acceptance for drainage. PBT Choose medium and low viscosity pure resin chips for acceptance and delivery pricing. |
Source:Longzhong Information
Three, Market Outlook
The PBT market is expected to be weak and cautious today. On the cost side, PTA There is a certain expectation of reduced load at the polyester end, and an expectation of improvement in the tight supply and demand situation. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream buyers is weak, but the sharp rise in oil prices strongly supports the cost end. In the short term, the domestic PTA spot market is expected to rebound. ;BDO The supplier has a positive intention to maintain prices, and the actual demand from the downstream end users is relatively decent. However, under cost pressure, contract order purchases are the main focus. Manufacturers holding inventory are cautious about the market outlook, resulting in fluctuations within a certain range. Industry players are paying close attention to the progress of new production capacity coming online. 。 The supply side of PBT has increased shipment sentiment, and the market focus may shift to weak fluctuations. Downstream and end-users may increase their market entry at low prices. Therefore, Longzhong predicts that in today's East China market, medium and low viscosity PBT Resin viewing 7800-8200 Yuan / Ton.
Four, Data Calendar
data |
Publication Date |
Last period's data |
Expected trend this period |
PBT Weekly Production |
Thursday at 5:00 PM |
23,075 tons |
↑ |
PBT Weekly profit |
Thursday at 5:00 PM |
-498 Yuan/ton |
↓ |
PBT Week Start |
Thursday at 5:00 PM |
54.32% |
↑ |
1 , ↓↑ considered as significant fluctuations, highlighting data with increases or decreases of more than 3%. |
|||
2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%. |
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