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[PBT Morning Tips] Holders are cautious about the future market. Today's PBT market is weak and waiting.
Longzhong 2025-04-01 09:12:34

I. Focus Points

1 March 31: The U.S. indicated that it has not ruled out the option of taking military action against Iran, causing market concerns over potential supply risks to intensify. As a result, international oil prices rose. NYMEXCrude Oil FuturesThe May contract for WTI crude oil rose by $2.12 to $71.48 per barrel, an increase of 3.06%; the ICE Brent crude oil futures contract for May rose by $1.11 to $74.74 per barrel, an increase of 1.51%. China's INE crude oil futures main contract for May fell by 4.3 to 537.4 yuan per barrel, but during the overnight session it rose by 16.5 to 553.9 yuan per barrel.

2 PTA marketContinuously declining BDO market Observing operation

3 Stable production in terms of equipment.

Core Logic Cost side support is weak The PBT market is operating weakly. , transactions maintain rigid demand

II. Price List

Product

Region

2025/03/28

2025/03/31

Change Value

crude oil

NYMEX

69.36

71.48

2.12

ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures

73.63

74.74

1.11

BDO

East China

7900-8000

7900-8000

0/ 0

PTA

East China

4905

4840

-65

PBT

East China

7850-8200

7850-8200

0/ 0

Note: 1 PTA At par value, the price is for premium grade spot goods in cash and self-pickup. BDO The price for the delivery of the payment acceptance for drainage. PBT Choose medium and low viscosity pure resin chips for acceptance and delivery pricing.
      2
The unit of crude oil is in US dollars. / Bucket, Others 3 The price of this variety is in RMB, unit: yuan. / Ton.
      3
, Change value is the ring-by-ring change value.

Source:Longzhong Information

Three, Market Outlook

The PBT market is expected to be weak and cautious today. On the cost side, PTA There is a certain expectation of reduced load at the polyester end, and an expectation of improvement in the tight supply and demand situation. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream buyers is weak, but the sharp rise in oil prices strongly supports the cost end. In the short term, the domestic PTA spot market is expected to rebound. ;BDO The supplier has a positive intention to maintain prices, and the actual demand from the downstream end users is relatively decent. However, under cost pressure, contract order purchases are the main focus. Manufacturers holding inventory are cautious about the market outlook, resulting in fluctuations within a certain range. Industry players are paying close attention to the progress of new production capacity coming online. The supply side of PBT has increased shipment sentiment, and the market focus may shift to weak fluctuations. Downstream and end-users may increase their market entry at low prices. Therefore, Longzhong predicts that in today's East China market, medium and low viscosity PBT Resin viewing 7800-8200 Yuan / Ton.

Four, Data Calendar

data

Publication Date

Last period's data

Expected trend this period

PBT Weekly Production

Thursday at 5:00 PM

23,075 tons

PBT Weekly profit

Thursday at 5:00 PM

-498 Yuan/ton

PBT Week Start

Thursday at 5:00 PM

54.32%

1 , ↓↑ considered as significant fluctuations, highlighting data with increases or decreases of more than 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%.

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