[pbt daily review] raw materials both fall, pbt market runs quietly
1 Today's Summary
The PBT manufacturer's quotation remains stable.
There are fewer PBT unit overhauls this week.
③ The PBT production for this period is 22,600 tons, a decrease of 500 tons from the previous period, representing a decline of 2.16%. The capacity utilization rate is 53.14%, down by 1.32% compared to the previous period. This week's average gross profit of domestic PBT is -548 RMB/ton, down 44 RMB/ton from the previous week. 。
2 Spot Overview
Table 1 Domestic PBT Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)
|
Market |
Specification |
2025/07/31 |
2025/08/01 |
Change in value |
Change in Price Percentage |
|
East China |
Medium-low viscosity pure resin |
7800-8300 |
7800-8300 |
0/ 0 |
0%/ 0% |
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
East China |
PTA |
4826 |
4740 |
-86 |
-1.78% |
|
East China |
BDO (Sprinkler) |
8100-8200 |
8000-8200 |
-100 / 0 |
-1.23% / 0% |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
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The mainstream price of medium and low viscosity PBT resin in the East China region is 7800-8300 yuan/ton today, remaining stable compared to the previous working day.Today, the PBT market is weak and cautious, the PTA market is under pressure and falling, and the BDO market continues to decline. The raw material side continues to weaken, with the PBT market observing weakly. There is an increased mentality of promoting transactions at low prices within the market, and the market focus is weak. According to Longzhong Information, the price of low-viscosity PBT pure resin in the East China market is 7,800-8,300 RMB/ton.
3 Production Dynamics
The PBT production for this period is 22,600 tons, a decrease of 500 tons compared to the previous period, with a decline rate of 2.16%. The capacity utilization rate is 53.14%, down by 1.32% from the previous period. During the week, the PBT plant at Nantong Xingchen underwent maintenance, and the PBT plant at Changhong Bio reduced its load, leading to a decrease in domestic PBT supply. 。 The average domestic PBT gross profit this week is -548 RMB/ton, down 44 RMB/ton from the previous week. 。
|
Figure 2: Trend Chart of Domestic PBT Capacity Utilization Rate in 2025 |
Figure 3 2025 Domestic PBT Profit and Price Comparison Chart (CNY/ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Forecast
The PBT market is expected to experience weak fluctuations. On the raw material side, multiple domestic PTA facilities are undergoing maintenance, leading to a significant reduction in supply. However, demand is underperforming, with polyester enterprises' production and sales being average. Coupled with a weakening trend in raw materials, the PTA spot market is expected to continue its weak pattern in the short term. BDO supply and demand pressure is expected to persist next week, and market participants have a strong cautious bearish sentiment. Downstream buyers are following up as needed, and sellers are continuing their selling mindset, with the market focus shifting to the mid-to-low end. The weakening support from raw materials continues to negatively impact the PBT market sentiment, potentially leading to increased supply-side discounting operations. The market focus is expected to experience weak fluctuations. Therefore, Longzhong anticipates that next week, the East China market for low to medium viscosity PBT resin will be priced at 7,700-8,200 yuan/ton.
5 Related product information
PTA Market: Today's PTA spot price is down 86 to 4740. For August main port delivery, transactions occurred at a discount of 10-15, while for September main port delivery, transactions were flat with the September contract. Weak cost and weak expectations constrained the market, leading to a volatile decline in absolute prices during the day. Mainstream suppliers were selling, and the spot basis continued to be relatively weak, though market negotiations were acceptable. (Unit: RMB/ton)
BDO Market: As of press time, mainstream spot bulk negotiations in East China are at 8000-8200 yuan/ton, and barrel negotiations are at 9000-9200 yuan/ton (delivered upon acceptance), with the lower end down by 100 yuan/ton compared to yesterday. Today, the BDO market in East China is experiencing a downward fluctuation. The market lacks favorable support, and industry participants are cautiously bearish. The downstream actual orders are limited and negotiable, and the holders are selling at a discount, leading the market to continue declining. 。
6 Data Calendar
Table 2 Overview of Domestic PBT Data (Unit: Ton, Yuan/Ton)
|
Data |
Publication Date |
Previous Data |
Forecast for This Period |
|
PBT Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
54.46% |
- |
|
PBT Weekly Production Volume |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
23,100 tons |
- |
|
PBT Weekly Profit |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
-504 yuan/ton |
↘ |
|
Data Source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as substantial when highlighting changes exceeding a 3% increase or decrease. 2 Considered as a narrow fluctuation, highlighting data with a rise and fall range within 0-3%. |
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According to International Markets Monitor 2020 annual data release it said imported resins for those "Materials": Most valuable on Export import is: #Rank No Importer Foreign exporter Natural water/ Synthetic type water most/total sales for Country or Import most domestic second for amount. Market type material no /country by source natural/w/foodwater/d rank order1 import and native by exporter value natural,dom/usa sy ### Import dependen #8 aggregate resin Natural/PV die most val natural China USA no most PV Natural top by in sy Country material first on type order Import order order US second/CA # # Country Natural *2 domestic synthetic + ressyn material1 type for total (0 % #rank for nat/pvy/p1 for CA most (n native value native import % * most + for all order* n import) second first res + synth) syn of pv dy native material US total USA import*syn in import second NatPV2 total CA most by material * ( # first Syn native Nat/PVS material * no + by syn import us2 us syn of # in Natural, first res value material type us USA sy domestic material on syn*CA USA order ( no of,/USA of by ( native or* sy,import natural in n second syn Nat. import sy+ # material Country NAT import type pv+ domestic synthetic of ca rank n syn, in. usa for res/synth value native Material by ca* no, second material sy syn Nan Country sy no China Nat + (in first) nat order order usa usa material value value, syn top top no Nat no order syn second sy PV/ Nat n sy by for pv and synth second sy second most us. of,US2 value usa, natural/food + synth top/nya most* domestic no Natural. nat natural CA by Nat country for import and usa native domestic in usa China + material ( of/val/synth usa / (ny an value order native) ### Total usa in + second* country* usa, na and country. CA CA order syn first and CA / country na syn na native of sy pv syn, by. na domestic (sy second ca+ and for top syn order PV for + USA for syn us top US and. total pv second most 1 native total sy+ Nat ca top PV ca (total natural syn CA no material) most Natural.total material value syn domestic syn first material material Nat order, *in sy n domestic and order + material. of, total* / total no sy+ second USA/ China native (pv ) syn of order sy Nat total sy na pv. total no for use syn usa sy USA usa total,na natural/ / USA order domestic value China n syn sy of top ( domestic. Nat PV # Export Res type Syn/P Material country PV, by of Material syn and.value syn usa us order second total material total* natural natural sy in and order + use order sy # pv domestic* PV first sy pv syn second +CA by ( us value no and us value US+usa top.US USA us of for Nat+ *US,us native top ca n. na CA, syn first USA and of in sy syn native syn by US na material + Nat . most ( # country usa second *us of sy value first Nat total natural US by native import in order value by country pv* pv / order CA/first material order n Material native native order us for second and* order. material syn order native top/ (na syn value. +US2 material second. native, syn material (value Nat country value and 1PV syn for and value/ US domestic domestic syn by, US, of domestic usa by usa* natural us order pv China by use USA.ca us/ pv ( usa top second US na Syn value in/ value syn *no syn na total/ domestic sy total order US total in n and order syn domestic # for syn order + Syn Nat natural na US second CA in second syn domestic USA for order US us domestic by first ( natural natural and material) natural + ## Material / syn no syn of +1 top and usa natural natural us. order. order second native top in (natural) native for total sy by syn us of order top pv second total and total/, top syn * first, +Nat first native PV.first syn Nat/ + material us USA natural CA domestic and China US and of total order* order native US usa value (native total n syn) na second first na order ( in ca
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