[PA66 Daily Review] Downstream Follows Demand, Market Adjusts Accordingly
1 Today's Summary
①、 On July 28, the United States and the European Union reached a new trade agreement, and the U.S. will shorten the deadline for new sanctions against Russia, leading to a rise in international oil prices. NYMEXCrude oil futuresThe September WTI crude oil futures contract rose by $1.55/barrel to $66.71, an increase of 2.38% compared to the previous period; the September ICE Brent crude oil futures contract rose by $1.60/barrel to $70.04, an increase of 2.34% compared to the previous period. China's INE crude oil futures main contract 2509 fell by 3.1 to 505.5 yuan/barrel, and rose by 10.4 to 515.9 yuan/barrel in the night session.
② Currently, the domestic PA66 capacity utilization rate is 60%, with a daily output of approximately 2,300 tons. Under cost and demand pressures, the capacity utilization of domestic polyamide 66 enterprises remains stable; however, downstream demand is generally moderate, and the supply of goods in the domestic PA66 industry is sufficient.
2 Spot Market Overview
Table 1 Domestic PA66 Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)
|
Market |
Specifications |
7 28th day of the month |
July 29 |
Change in Value |
Price Change Range |
|
East China |
EPR27 |
15600 |
15600 |
0 |
0% |
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
East China |
Adipic acid |
7000 |
7100 |
+100 |
+1.43% |
|
Source of data: Longzhong Information |
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Based on the Yuyao market in East China, today’s EPR27 market price is quoted at 15,500-15,700 RMB/ton, stable compared with yesterday’s price. 。 The raw material adipic acid continues to rise sharply, with persistent cost pressures. Downstream buyers mainly purchase as needed. Market supply is ample, and the market is operating in an orderly manner.
|
Figure 1 Price Trend of Domestic PA66 in 2025 (RMB/ton) |
Figure 2 Price Trend Chart of Domestic PA66 in East China in 2025 (RMB/ton) |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
Today, the capacity utilization rate of domestic PA66 enterprises is approximately 60%, and the industry's supply of goods remains stable. In terms of profits, the price of raw material adipic acid has fluctuated upward, resulting in considerable cost pressure. The domestic PA66 market prices are consolidating, with the market continuing to experience losses.
|
Figure 5: Domestic PA66 Capacity Utilization Rate Trend Chart for 2024-2025 |
Figure 6 Comparison of Domestic PA66 Profit and Price in 2025 (Yuan/ton) |
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|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction
Cost pressures remain unchanged, and downstream purchases are made on an as-needed basis.The market supply of goods is sufficient. The domestic PA66 market is expected to remain stable in the short term.
5 Related Product Information
Butadiene Market: The mainstream delivered price of butadiene in the central Shandong region is around 9,300-9,400 yuan/ton, a decrease of 150 yuan compared to the previous period. In the morning, the supply-side auction encountered obstacles in sales, and the downstream demand is also insufficient to support the market. Traders are pessimistic, and the market focus continues to decline.
Adipic Acid Market: The East China market's reference price for adipic acid is 7000-7200 RMB/ton delivered with acceptance, an increase of 100 RMB/ton compared to yesterday's price.Adipic Acid MarketThe interval is moving up. Manufacturers have no pressure on inventory, and the early market guidance price has been raised, indicating a clear intention to support the market. Middlemen's quotations have followed the upward trend. On the demand side, most are observing, with a relatively subdued atmosphere for inquiries and purchases, and actual transactions are being watched.
6 Data Calendar
Table 2 Overview of Domestic PA66 Data (Unit: 10,000 tons)
|
Data |
Release Date |
Previous period data |
The trend for this period is expected |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 11:30 AM |
60% |
→ |
|
Weekly Production |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
1.59 |
→ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Remarks: 1 Consider significant fluctuations as those with changes exceeding 3% in data dimensions. 2 Treat ↗↘ as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%. |
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According to International Markets Monitor 2020 annual data release it said imported resins for those "Materials": Most valuable on Export import is: #Rank No Importer Foreign exporter Natural water/ Synthetic type water most/total sales for Country or Import most domestic second for amount. Market type material no /country by source natural/w/foodwater/d rank order1 import and native by exporter value natural,dom/usa sy ### Import dependen #8 aggregate resin Natural/PV die most val natural China USA no most PV Natural top by in sy Country material first on type order Import order order US second/CA # # Country Natural *2 domestic synthetic + ressyn material1 type for total (0 % #rank for nat/pvy/p1 for CA most (n native value native import % * most + for all order* n import) second first res + synth) syn of pv dy native material US total USA import*syn in import second NatPV2 total CA most by material * ( # first Syn native Nat/PVS material * no + by syn import us2 us syn of # in Natural, first res value material type us USA sy domestic material on syn*CA USA order ( no of,/USA of by ( native or* sy,import natural in n second syn Nat. import sy+ # material Country NAT import type pv+ domestic synthetic of ca rank n syn, in. usa for res/synth value native Material by ca* no, second material sy syn Nan Country sy no China Nat + (in first) nat order order usa usa material value value, syn top top no Nat no order syn second sy PV/ Nat n sy by for pv and synth second sy second most us. of,US2 value usa, natural/food + synth top/nya most* domestic no Natural. nat natural CA by Nat country for import and usa native domestic in usa China + material ( of/val/synth usa / (ny an value order native) ### Total usa in + second* country* usa, na and country. CA CA order syn first and CA / country na syn na native of sy pv syn, by. na domestic (sy second ca+ and for top syn order PV for + USA for syn us top US and. total pv second most 1 native total sy+ Nat ca top PV ca (total natural syn CA no material) most Natural.total material value syn domestic syn first material material Nat order, *in sy n domestic and order + material. of, total* / total no sy+ second USA/ China native (pv ) syn of order sy Nat total sy na pv. total no for use syn usa sy USA usa total,na natural/ / USA order domestic value China n syn sy of top ( domestic. Nat PV # Export Res type Syn/P Material country PV, by of Material syn and.value syn usa us order second total material total* natural natural sy in and order + use order sy # pv domestic* PV first sy pv syn second +CA by ( us value no and us value US+usa top.US USA us of for Nat+ *US,us native top ca n. na CA, syn first USA and of in sy syn native syn by US na material + Nat . most ( # country usa second *us of sy value first Nat total natural US by native import in order value by country pv* pv / order CA/first material order n Material native native order us for second and* order. material syn order native top/ (na syn value. +US2 material second. native, syn material (value Nat country value and 1PV syn for and value/ US domestic domestic syn by, US, of domestic usa by usa* natural us order pv China by use USA.ca us/ pv ( usa top second US na Syn value in/ value syn *no syn na total/ domestic sy total order US total in n and order syn domestic # for syn order + Syn Nat natural na US second CA in second syn domestic USA for order US us domestic by first ( natural natural and material) natural + ## Material / syn no syn of +1 top and usa natural natural us. order. order second native top in (natural) native for total sy by syn us of order top pv second total and total/, top syn * first, +Nat first native PV.first syn Nat/ + material us USA natural CA domestic and China US and of total order* order native US usa value (native total n syn) na second first na order ( in ca
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