Multi-Factor Fermentation Drives August PVC Shipping Prices in Asia Steadily Upward

Since the beginning of July, news related to "anti-involution" in mainland China, certain industries being "backward and having excess capacity," and coal production inspections have continued to spread, driving continuous price increases in bulk commodities across multiple sectors such as ferrous metals and petrochemicals.PVC MarketBullish sentiment is increasing, and China's PVC export prices have been raised, boosting August shipment quotations in the Asian region.

1. Price Increases in China's Domestic and Foreign Trade Markets

Figure 1: Statistics of Domestic and Export Market Prices of PVC in July 2025

Table 1:Statistics of Domestic PVC Market and Export Market Prices in July 2025

According to the statistics from Longzhong Price Center, since July 2025, the average domestic PVC market price has increased by 90 yuan/ton month-on-month, while the average international export price has risen by 8.5 USD/ton month-on-month. Based on the trend curve, it can be seen that a series of news since early and mid-July, including coal production reduction, urban meetings, anti-involution, capacity device policies, and coal inventory assessments, have had a relatively direct impact on the market.

2. PVC consumption is in the traditional off-season, and the market lacks spot transaction support.

Although PVC market prices have been steadily rising, trading volumes in the PVC market have remained lukewarm. During the off-season for demand due to the summer heat, some downstream product manufacturers have even reduced their operating rates. According to Longzhong data monitoring, inventories in third-party social warehouses in the PVC market have continued to accumulate and increase since July.

Figure 2: Changes in Domestic PVC Downstream Operating Rates in 2024-2025

3. Multiple Factors Cause Price Delays in Asia in August

Due to the rising trend in futures prices in mainland China influenced by industry policies, major PVC producers in Asia have repeatedly delayed the announcement of new August shipment quotes. The current price focus in mainland China has recently increased by $10-20 per ton, with the carbide method FOB main port reaching $620-635 per ton and the ethylene method reaching $625-640 per ton. Considering the anti-dumping duty on imported PVC in India has been postponed until September 25, and Taiwan's Formosa Plastics is undergoing major maintenance in late August, major PVC producers in Asia plan to increase new shipment quotes by more than $20 per ton for the next month. Taking into account the reduction in August shipping costs, the CIF (Cost, Insurance, and Freight) prices of some companies may remain stable or slightly increase.