[ABS Daily Review] Market Transactions Mainly Driven by Rigid Demand, Price Fluctuations Limited Today
1 Today's Summary:
① Today, prices in the East China market slightly declined in some areas; prices in the South China market also slightly declined in some areas, with market transactions meeting just the necessary demand.
② The monthly production of ABS increased month-on-month in August.
2 Spot Market Overview Table 1 Summary of Domestic ABS Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
Based on Yuyao and Dongguan areas, the market prices in East China have slightly decreased, and the market prices in South China have slightly decreased. Today's market transactions are mainly driven by rigid demand, and terminal demand remains weak. All three major raw materials have risen across the board today, strengthening cost support.
3 Production Dynamics
The 600,000-ton/year ABS plant of Liaoning Jinfa is scheduled to undergo maintenance from May 15 to June 30, lasting 45 days. The plant has already started operation and is being fed with materials.
Figure 2 Weekly Domestic ABS Capacity Utilization Rate Trend Chart |
Figure 3 Weekly Domestic ABS Cost and Profit Trend Chart |
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Data source: Longzhong Information |
Source of data: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction:
Based on Yuyao and Dongguan regions, prices in the East China market have partially declined, and prices in the South China market have also decreased in certain areas. Today's market transactions remained primarily driven by rigid demand, with terminal demand lacking strength. Traders offered discounts to facilitate sales. The three major raw materials are on the rise, enhancing the cost support for ABS. It is expected that ABS prices will maintain a narrow-range consolidation trend tomorrow.
5 Relevant Product Information:
Styrene Market In the afternoon, raw material prices slightly increased, the main contract showed a small rebound and consolidation, with trading sentiment for styrene in a state of negotiation, resulting in limited upward momentum in trading activity. Zhejiang market. There is a selling intention around 7,400 yuan/ton, and actual orders can be negotiated. 。
Acrylonitrile Market Today in East ChinaAcrylonitrile market priceStable for now, with mainstream delivered reference prices at 8,400-8,500 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. Supply has decreased in some areas, and producers continue to hold prices firm. The focus of spot negotiations remains unchanged.
Butadiene Market : As of the time of publication, the ex-tank self-pickup price of butadiene in Jiangyin, Jiangsu is around 9,100-9,200 yuan/ton, up by 100 yuan compared to the previous period. Spot supply for external sales at East China ports remains limited, and although only a few traders are offering quotes, suppliers’ price adjustments have boosted market sentiment, pushing the market focus upward.
6 Data Calendar
Table 4 Overview of Domestic ABS Data (Unit: 10,000 tons)
Data |
Release Date |
Previous data |
Current trend forecast |
ABS Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 11:30 AM |
66.82% |
↗ |
ABS Weekly Output |
Wednesday 4:00 PM |
12.96 |
↗ |
Manufacturer inventory |
Monday and Thursday 1:45 PM |
16.9 |
↘ |
Source of data: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Treat ↓↑ as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions where the increase or decrease exceeds 3%. 2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%. |
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