Pa6 daily report: Weak Market Demand, Localized Polyester Chip Price Declines
1 Summary of the day
①、 Longzhong Information reported on April 13: Sinopec's caprolactam weekly settlement price last week was RMB 13,800 per ton (six-month interest-free acceptance bill), down RMB 230 per ton from the previous period.
②、 Sinopec's refineries in East China, South China, and Central China have reduced the price of pure benzene by 300 yuan/ton, setting it at 8,700 yuan/ton, effective from April 9.
2 Spot Market Overview
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Polyamide 6 Prices (Unit: RMB/ton)
|
Market |
Specifications |
4 March 13 |
April 14 |
Rise and Fall Value |
Payment Terms |
|
Conventional Spinning Grade Polyamide 6 Chips |
East China Market (Standard) |
13600-13700 |
13500-13600 |
-100/-100 |
Spot Short Delivery |
|
East China Market (Premium) |
13600-13800 |
13600-13800 |
0/0 |
Cash and Carry |
|
|
High-speed spinning chip of nylon 6 |
East China Spot (Regular) |
13600-14200 |
13600-14200 |
0/0 |
Spot exchange factory |
|
East China Spot (Premium) |
14000-14200 |
14000-14200 |
0/0 |
Acceptance sent |
|
|
Key Upstream |
|||||
|
Caprolactam |
East China |
13200 |
13200 |
0 |
Acceptance sent |
Data source: Longzhong Information
Downstream demand remains weak, and the market is cautious about purchasing chips, combined with an upward trend in some chip inventories, which has led to a slight decline in polymer factory prices. Currently, the price of conventional spun PA6 in East China is 13,500-13,600 yuan/ton cash short delivery, and high-speed spun products are 14,000-14,200 yuan/ton acceptance delivery.
|
Figure 1 Domestic Weekly Price Trend Chart of Polyamide 6 (Unit: RMB/ton) |
Figure 2 Domestic Polyamide 6 and Raw Material Price Trend Chart (Unit: RMB/ton) |
|
|
|
Data source: L&F Information System |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
1) The capacity utilization rate of Polyamide 6 is 69.46%.
The profit of conventional spinning chip of polyamide 6 is -400 yuan/ton, and the profit of high-speed spinning is -665 yuan/ton. Ton.
|
Figure 3: Trend of Domestic Polyamide 6 Capacity Utilization |
Figure 4: Domestic PA6 Profit Comparison (Unit: RMB/ton) |
|
|
|
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Prediction
Insufficient follow-up on downstream orders, weak overall market trading activity, and rising inventories at some polymerization plants have collectively led to an expectation that PA6 chips will remain weak and volatile in the near term.
5 , Relevant Product Information
Caprolactam : Today’s East China caprolactam market price is RMB 13,200 per metric ton, delivered on acceptance basis, remaining unchanged from the previous trading day. Industry supply is tight.The market remains firm. 。
② Nylon Filament Nylon POY 85D/24 in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Fujian areas is priced at 15,500-16,700 yuan/ton, with some quotes higher, and negotiations are flexible. Cost increases drive the price, and the negotiation center remains high and stable. Overall, the nylon filament industry is mainly negotiating with demand-based purchasing, and the industry is operating with thin profits.
6. Data Calendar
Table 2 Domestic Polyamide 6 Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, yuan/ton, days)
|
Data |
Release date |
Last period data |
Trend forecast for this period |
|
Capacity Utilization |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
69.46% |
↘ |
|
Weekly Production |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
12.92 |
↘ |
|
Conventional Spinning Profit |
Thursday 16:00 PM |
-400 |
↘ |
|
Conventional Spinning Inventory |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
8.5 |
↗ |
|
Data source: L&F Information System Note: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with price changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ is considered a narrow fluctuation, highlighting data with a gain or loss of 0-3%. |
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