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[PE Weekly Outlook] Polyethylene Prices Expected to Rise Slightly Amid Fluctuations This Week

Longzhong 2025-08-18 08:47:37

Focus Points

1 Cost side: The market is awaiting the outcome of the meeting between the US and Russian leaders, with hopes for further easing of geopolitical tensions. International oil prices have declined. NYMEX crude oil futures September contract closed at $62.80, down $1.16 per barrel, a decrease of 1.81% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude oil futures October contract closed at $65.85, down $0.99 per barrel, a decrease of 1.48% compared to the previous period. 。

2 Current parking device: Currently, the parking devices involve 24 polyethylene units, with additional maintenance for Fushun Petrochemical, Wanhua Chemical, Jilin Petrochemical, and Lianyungang Petrochemical units.

3 Yesterday’s Market Review: The domestic polyethylene market prices fell by 1-14 yuan/ton on the previous day. Recently, there has been favorable support from the macroeconomic side, with little change in polyethylene supply. The prices of LDPE and LLDPE have remained firm, but some HDPE products have seen a slight decline in prices due to increased supply and obstacles in sales.

Core Logic: Translate the above content into English, output the translation directly, and do not provide any explanation. Fundamental supply and demand pressure weakens, providing slight price support. 。

2. Price List Form

Variety	Category	2025/8/14	2025/8/15	Change in Value	Change Rate
HDPE	Low-pressure film material	7980	7978	-2	-0.03%
HDPE	Low-pressure low-melt injection molding plastic	7627	7613	-14	-0.18%
HDPE	Low-pressure drawing material	7990	7989	-1	-0.01%
HDPE	Low-pressure small and medium hollow materials	7612	7609	-3	-0.04%
LDPE	High-pressure film material	9653	9652	-1	-0.01%
LLDPE	Melt flow index 2 thin film material	7443	7442	-1	-0.01%
Data source: Longzhong Information

3. Market Outlook

Polyethylene prices are expected to fluctuate with a slight upward trend this week. Key points to watch: 1. Cost side: The cost support from oil-based production is expected to weaken, while support from coal-based production will remain largely unchanged; 2. Supply side: This week, market supply will be affected by planned maintenance at units such as Fushun Petrochemical, Wanhua Chemical, and Lianyungang Petrochemical, leading to an anticipated decrease in supply. Total production this week is projected to be 638,100 tons, down 23,100 tons from last week; 3. Demand side: The overall operating rate of downstream PE industries is expected to decrease by 0.57% this week, with demand remaining relatively stable. Enterprises are operating steadily, with profits for some products at a low level and finished product inventories remaining low. Production is guided by orders. Overall, supply and demand pressures on fundamentals have eased, and recent macroeconomic support remains solid. Market sentiment is relatively positive, so prices are likely to fluctuate with a slight upward trend.

4. Data Calendar

Data	8.1-8.7	8.8-8.14	Next trend forecast
PE Total Inventory of Manufacturing Enterprises (10,000 tons)	51.54	44.45	↘
PE Social Sample Warehouse Inventory	--	1.22%	↘
PE Weekly Production (10,000 tons)	66.02	66.11	↗
PE Maintenance impact (10,000 tons)	7.87	7.22	↘
PE Weekly capacity utilization rate	85.72%	86.82%	↗
PE Downstream industry capacity utilization rate	--	0.35%	↗
PE Mentality Survey	--	-3.46%	↘
Data source: Longzhong Information Remark: 1 Consider large fluctuations as those with significant changes, highlighting data dimensions with an increase or decrease of more than 3%. 2 ↗↘ are regarded as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with price changes within 0-3%.

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[PE Weekly Outlook] Polyethylene Prices Expected to Rise Slightly Amid Fluctuations This Week

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