Plasticizer june latest market trend: Rise Then Fall, Weak Supply and Demand
Since June, the plasticizer market has shown a trend of first rising and then falling. Affected by fluctuations in upstream raw material prices and weak downstream demand, the prices of major products such as DOP and DOTP have recently edged down slightly. At present, the market is characterized by both weak supply and demand, and is expected to remain range-bound with narrow fluctuations in the short term.
I. Latest Price Overview
As of June 24, 2026, the prices of major types of plasticizers are as follows (delivered prices in the East China market):
In terms of ex-factory prices, on June 24, Zhejiang Hongbo New Materials’ ex-factory quotation for DOTP8850 yuan/tondown by 100 yuan/ton from the previous day.
II. Price Trend Analysis
From a three-month perspective, the prices of plasticizers fluctuate significantly. The average price of DOP over three months is approximatelyRMB 8,865/tonThe highest price was 10,700 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 7,600 yuan/ton, with a significant fluctuation.
III. Cost-Side Analysis
The cost of plasticizers is mainly affected byPhthalic anhydride, octanol, PTAImpacted by factors such as raw material prices. Recently, the overall raw material market has been relatively weak, weakening cost support for plasticizers.
Main changes on the cost side
Phthalic anhydride:Prices have edged down slightly recently. As of June 23, the price of o-phthalic anhydride produced by the o-xylene process in Jiangsu was about RMB 8,400/tonne, down RMB 50/tonne from the previous week. The naphthalene-based phthalic anhydride route has a clear cost advantage, and producers are more profitable than those using the o-xylene process.
PTA：On June 25, the main futures contract closed at RMB 5,470 per ton, down 5.12% on the day, significantly weakening cost support for DOTP.
Octanol:Market quotations vary significantly and are generally operating weakly, providing limited cost support for plasticizers.
IV. Supply and Demand Analysis
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The overall operating rate of plasticizer enterprises remains at50%-60%range, with some units operating at low load
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Zhejiang Hongbo and other companies' 50,000-ton plasticizer production equipment is operating at low capacity.
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The overall industry supply is relatively sufficient, with no obvious shortages.
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The operating rate of the PVC industry is approximately66%The restart of the ethylene process unit has driven a slight overall increase in operating rates.
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The traditional downstream real estate industry is still in a period of adjustment, and the operating rates of pipe and profile manufacturers have been lingering for a long time.40%Left and right low positions
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In June, the traditional off-season for consumption begins, with downstream procurement remaining based on essential needs and overall purchasing sentiment being moderate.
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In terms of exports, affected by India’s lower prices, exports have contracted.
Current market presentationBoth supply and demand are weakThe market remains in a stalemate. Operating rates among suppliers are not high, while downstream buyers are cautious in procurement. Market trading is subdued, with transactions mainly concluded at prevailing market prices.
V. Market Outlook Forecast
Overall, it is expected that The plasticizer market may continue to experience weak fluctuations in late June., with prices adjusting within a narrow range.
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Negative factors:Downstream demand remains weak, and the traditional off-season effect is emerging; prices of raw materials such as PTA have fallen, weakening cost support; social inventories are relatively high, and inventory destocking pressure is significant.
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Positive factors:Some enterprises are operating at low loads, so supply pressure is not significant; crude oil prices remain uncertain, and the cost side may fluctuate.
Recommend enterprisesStock on demandPay attention to trends in raw material prices and changes in downstream operating rates.
VI. Industry Overview
The global plasticizer market is steadily growing, with a market size expected to reach approximately by 2025.$9.7 billionIt is expected to reach approximately USD 9.9 billion by 2026, with an annual growth rate of about 2.1%.
In terms of product structure,Environmentally friendly plasticizersThe proportion continues to increase, and demand for non-phthalate plasticizers such as DOTP is growing faster than that for traditional phthalate products. As environmental regulations become stricter, the plasticizer industry is developing toward greener and higher-end products.
Conclusion:
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