[pet daily review] raw materials support, polyester bottle chip market stops falling and rebounds
1 Today's Summary
①. The factory quotation partially increased by 30-80. (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
The domestic polyester bottle chip capacity utilization rate reached 70.89% today.
2 Spot Overview
Table 1: Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Price Summary (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
|
Market |
Specifications |
8 May 5th |
August 6th |
Change in value |
Change in value percentage |
|
East China |
Aquarius-class |
5880 |
5960 |
+80 |
+1.36% |
|
South China |
Aquarius class |
5940 |
5960 |
+20 |
+0.34% |
|
North China |
Aquarius Class |
5820 |
5960 |
+140 |
+2.41% |
As a benchmark for the East China region, today's spot price for polyester bottle-grade PET closed at 5960, up 80 from the previous working day, which does not meet the morning expectations.
The morning cost fluctuated, with bottle chip prices showing a weak trend, but supported by maintenance on the raw material side. The cost has risen, and the focus of the PET chip market has moved upward. Offers for sources in August-September are at 5860-6070 or August-September sources, with futures contracts at 2509-10 to +40 or 2510-40; bids are at 5850-5960. (Unit: RMB/ton)
|
Figure 1: Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Price Trend Chart for 2025 (Yuan/Ton) |
Figure 2: Price Trend Chart of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chips in Various Markets in 2025 (Yuan/Ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
3. Production Dynamics
Today, the capacity utilization rate of polyester bottle chips is 70.89%. In terms of profit, the price of raw material PTA increased by 15 to 4675, MEG price increased by 33 to 4493, polymerization cost rose to 5502.28, and the profit for polyester bottle chips showed a loss of -160.98 yuan/ton.
|
Figure 3: Trend of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Capacity Utilization Rate in 2024-2025 |
Figure 4: Comparison of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Profits and Prices in 2025 (CNY/ton) |
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Data Source: Longzhong Information |
Data Source: Longzhong Information |
4. Market Sentiment
Table 2: Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Industry Participants' Sentiment Expectations (Updated on Monday)
|
Perspective |
Quantity |
Proportion |
Month-on-month |
|
Bullish |
6 |
24% |
4% |
|
Bearish |
14 |
56% |
8% |
|
Remain unchanged |
5 |
20% |
-12% |
5. Price Forecast
The current market is still cost-driven, with a stable supply and demand situation: the supply side remains stable, while the demand side, including downstream and traders, only replenishes inventory based on low-price just-in-time needs. Today, due to the rebound in raw materials, bottle-grade PET prices have been adjusted upwards accordingly.The polyester bottle chip market has risen significantly, and processing fees have recovered somewhat within a low range.ButConsidering the relatively sufficient circulation of spot goods in the market,The sentiment to chase gains is relatively cautious.The spot price of polyester bottle-grade chips in the East China market is expected to be 5900-6000 yuan/ton tomorrow, with a focus on changes in raw materials in the future.
6. Related Product Information
PTA Market: The current PTA spot price today +15 To 4675 。 8 In September, the main port delivery for contract 09 saw a discount of 15-20, with transactions occurring, while negotiations for September main port delivery 09 were at a premium of 5-0. Commodity sentiment has improved, with reduced processing costs leading to increased efficiency and reduced production. During the day, absolute prices weakened but then rebounded. The spot basis remains relatively weak, and market negotiations are generally moderate. (Unit: RMB/ton)
MEG market : Today, the ethylene glycol market showed a slight upward adjustment. At the opening of the morning session, the spot price in the Zhangjiagang market was basically flat at around 4485. Throughout the day, prices fluctuated narrowly within the 4485-4495 range. By the afternoon close, spot prices were negotiated in the 4490-4493 range. The spot basis was slightly stronger, ranging from 09+78 to 09+81 during the day. In the South China market, quotes were slightly higher, but buying interest was moderate, and there was no significant improvement in market transactions.
7. Data Calendar
Table 3 Overview of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Data (Units: 10,000 tons, %)
|
Data |
Publication date |
Previous Data |
The trend for this period is expected |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Weekday 17:00 |
70.89% |
↘ |
|
Weekly Output |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
32.23 |
↘ |
|
Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate |
Thursday 5:00 PM |
70.58% |
↘ |
|
Data source: Longzhong Information Note: 1 Consider large fluctuations as significant changes, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2 It is regarded as a narrow fluctuation, highlighting data with a rise or fall range within 0-3%. |
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