[pet daily review] polyester bottle flake market slightly declines

1 Today's Summary

①. Yisheng's basis remains stable, while other factories have decreased by 20-70. Unit: Yuan/Ton

Today, the domestic polyester bottle chip capacity utilization rate is at 73.37%.

2 Spot Overview

Based on the East China region, today's spot price for polyester bottle-grade PET closed at 5660, down 20 from the previous working day, in line with the morning forecast.

The market sentiment is pessimistic, with raw material prices continuing to decline. Coupled with no favorable factors supporting the supply and demand of polyester bottle chips, factory quotes have been reduced by 20-70 yuan. The market focus is shifting downward, with some traders replenishing stocks, and just-in-time demand purchasing at low prices. It is heard that October sources were transacted at 5880-5760, with most transactions at lower prices, and slightly higher transactions at 5820 in some areas. November sources were transacted at 5580-5770, while December sources were transacted at 5560-5710. Futures contract 2511 shows a premium of 10-100, with the basis remaining stable. A major terminal factory is holding a tender. (Unit: yuan/ton)

3. Production Dynamics

Today, the capacity utilization rate of polyester bottle chips reached 73.37%. In terms of profit, the raw material PTA price dropped by 55 to 4385, MEG price rose to 4150, polymerization cost decreased by 56.52 to 5156.97, and polyester bottle chip profit incurred a loss of 96.97 yuan/ton.

4. Market Sentiment

Table 2: Sentiment Expectations of Domestic PET Bottle Chip Industry Participants (Updated on Mondays)

5. Price Prediction

External negative news has emerged, leading to a strong pessimistic sentiment in the commodity market, and the polyester bottle chip market may continue to adjust weakly. Supply remains stable, and it is expected that tomorrow the spot price of polyester bottle chips for water bottles in East China will operate in the range of 5550-5700 yuan/ton.

6. Related Product Information

PTA Market: The focus of East China PTA prices declines. ， Negotiation reference around 4385. 10 The main port delivery for January is trading at a discount of 75-85. The November main port delivery for January is quoted at a discount of 45-60, with offers at a discount of 55-65 for transactions and negotiations. The overall sentiment in the commodity market is sluggish, with weak industrial expectations weighing down, and the spot prices and spot basis continue to weaken, resulting in a generally moderate trading atmosphere. (Unit: yuan/ton)

MEG Market  ： Morning Ethylene Glycol MarketPrices have fallen again, driven by renewed concerns about a pessimistic supply-demand outlook, leading to market weakness. At the opening of the morning session, spot prices in Zhangjiagang opened low at around 4150. Buying interest was cautious during the session, and the focus of negotiations shifted downward. By midday close, spot prices were being negotiated in the 4120-4125 range, with a slight weakening in the spot basis. Morning negotiations ranged from 01+66 to 01+68. The South China market followed the decline, with offers for petroleum grade delivery around 4280, mainly for essential purchasing by buyers. In the dollar-denominated market, negotiations in the morning ranged from 482-485 with no reported transactions.

7. Data Calendar

Table 3 Overview of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, %)