[pet daily review] polyester bottle chip market continues to show weak trend

1 Today's Summary

①. Factory prices mostly drop by 10-30, some remain stable. (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

②. Today's domestic polyester bottle chip capacity utilization rate is 71.53%.

2 Spot Overview

In the East China region, the spot price of polyester bottle-grade chips closed at 5730 today, down 30 from the previous working day, in line with the morning forecast.

The cost continues to show a weak trend, with polyester bottle chip factory quotations mostly stable or decreased by 10-30. The market focus moves downward accordingly. The offers for September to November supply are between 5700-5950, and the September to November contract offers are at a 2511 premium of 0-20, with higher premiums of 60-70. Inquiries are at 5700-5880, and the September to November contract bids are at a 2511 discount of 0-70, with higher premiums of 30-80. Unit: Yuan/ton.

3. Production Update

Today, the capacity utilization rate of polyester bottle chips has reached 71.53%. In terms of profit, the raw material PTA price decreased by 40 to 4515, MEG price decreased by 10 to 4342, polymerization cost decreased by 38 to 5315, and polyester bottle chip profit loss is 202.96 yuan/ton.

4. Market Sentiment

Table 2 Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Industry Participants' Sentiment Expectations (Updated on Mondays)

5. Price Forecast

Supply remains stable at a low level, with the demand side making rigid replenishments at low points. In the short term, the market is considering...Factories are focusing on inventory reduction, with bottom prices offering support, yet commodities remain sluggish, weighed down by costs. Expectations for tomorrow are... Polyester bottle chips may continue to fluctuate weakly, with the spot price of polyester bottle-grade chips in East China expected to range between 5,680-5,850 yuan/ton.

6. Related Product Information

PTA Market: Today's PTA Spot Price -40 To 4515 。 9 January main port delivery offers at a discount of 75-80, bids at a discount of 80-85, with negotiations for transactions. October main port delivery offers at a discount of 50-65, bids around a discount of 65 with transactions. The overall sentiment for commodities is sluggish, with expectations of both supply and demand decreasing. The absolute price within the day follows the cost downwards, and the spot basis remains weak, with overall transactions being light. (Unit: Yuan/ton)

MEG market  ： Today, the ethylene glycol market continued its downward trend. At the opening of the morning session, the spot price in Zhangjiagang opened around 4360. Due to factors such as inventory increase, the focus of negotiations shifted downward during the session. In the afternoon, prices remained weak, and by the close, spot prices were being negotiated around 4335. The spot basis strengthened, running within 01+90 to 01+96 during the day. The South China market was lackluster, with downstream demand weak and transactions stagnant.

7. Data Calendar

Table 3 Overview of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, %)