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[PET Daily Review] Polyester Bottle Chip Market Fluctuates and Weakens

Longzhong 2025-07-29 17:02:19

1 Today's Summary

①. Some factories have lowered their prices by 20-50, while others have maintained stability. (Unit: yuan/ton)

Today, the domestic polyester bottle chip capacity utilization rate reached 70.12%.

2 Spot Overview

Table 1 Summary of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Market	Specification	7 28th of the month	7 The 29th of the month	Change in value	Change rate
East China	Aquarius class	6010	6000	-10	-0.17%
South China	Aquarius class	6090	6060	-30	-0.49%
North China	Aquarius Class	5990	5990	0	0%

Based on the East China region, today's spot price for polyester bottle-grade flakes settled at 6,000, down 10 from the previous working day, in line with the morning expectations.

The raw material support is weak, and some polyester bottle chip factories have decreased by 20-50. The actual transaction price for August sources is around 6030, with some remaining stable. The market focus is weak and fluctuating, with downstream just-in-need replenishment heard. The supply for July-August was transacted at 5920-6060, or futures contract 2509 at a discount of 50 to a premium of 40. The reported bid-ask spread was large, with light trading activity. (Unit: yuan/ton)

Figure 1 2025 Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Price Trend Chart (Yuan/Ton)	Figure 2: Price Trend Chart of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chips in Various Markets in 2025 (Yuan/Ton)

Data source: Longzhong Information	Data source: Longzhong Information

3. Production Dynamics

Today, the operating rate of polyester bottle chip capacity reached 70.12%. In terms of profit, the raw material PTA price dropped by 15 to 4830, MEG price rose by 19 to 4518, polymerization cost increased to 5662.5, resulting in a loss in polyester bottle chip profit. -262.05 yuan/ton.

Figure 3 Trend of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Capacity Utilization Rate in 2024-2025	Figure 4 Comparison of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Profit and Price in 2025 (RMB/ton)

Data Source: Longzhong Information	Data source: Longzhong Information

4. Market Sentiment

Table 2 Sentiment Expectations of Domestic PET Bottle Chip Upstream and Downstream Practitioners (Updated Every Monday)

Viewpoint	Quantity	Proportion	Month-on-month
Bullish	6	24%	4%
Bearish	14	56%	8%
Level with the ground	5	20%	-12%

5. Price Forecast

International oil prices have rebounded, providing some cost support. Supply remains stable, with holders cautious about selling, while downstream maintains just-in-time restocking, resulting in relatively stagnant trading. However, industry sentiment is pessimistic, and the polyester bottle chip market is expected to experience weak and volatile fluctuations.The East China market spot is expected to be 5920-6050. Pay attention to raw material changes (unit: yuan/ton).

6. Relevant Product Information

PTA Market: In the East China market, PTA prices have dropped, with negotiations referencing around 4830. This week's main port delivery offers for September are at a premium of 5 to a discount of 3, and for August, the main port delivery offers are at a premium of 5 to 0, with bids at a discount of 5 to 0 being concluded. The main port delivery offers for September are around a premium of 5, with bids around a discount of 5. Lacking driving forces, market participants are reducing positions to hedge risks. The absolute price weakened in the morning before recovering, with the spot basis roughly stable, and market negotiations are subdued. (Unit: RMB/ton)

MEG Market ： Today, the ethylene glycol market saw a rebound. In the morning, driven by the rise in crude oil prices, the spot price in Zhangjiagang opened higher at around 4515. Buying sentiment was decent during the session, and prices strengthened slightly. In the afternoon, the gains expanded, and by the close, the spot price was negotiated at around 4528. The spot basis remained stable throughout the day, fluctuating in the range of 09+60 to 09+63. In South China, market sentiment showed some improvement, but due to downstream caution, transaction volumes still did not show significant improvement. 。

7. Data Calendar

Table 3 Overview of Domestic Polyester Bottle Chip Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, %)

Data	Release Date	Previous data	The trend for this period is expected
Capacity utilization rate	17:00 on a working day	70.12%	↘
Weekly Output	Thursday 5:00 PM	32.23	↘
Weekly capacity utilization rate	Thursday 5:00 PM	70.58%	↘
Data source: Longzhong Information Remarks: 1 Treat significant fluctuations with ↑ and ↓, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2 Regard ↗↘ as narrow range fluctuations, highlighting data with an amplitude within 0-3%.

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[PET Daily Review] Polyester Bottle Chip Market Fluctuates and Weakens

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