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[pbt morning update] expect today's pbt market to continue observing

Longzhong 2025-10-29 08:30:23

I. Points of Attention

1 Crude Oil: The market is focused on OPEC+'s continued production increase plans, combined with a still weak demand outlook, leading to a drop in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures for the December contract fell by $1.16 to $60.15 per barrel, a decrease of 1.89% compared to the previous period; ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract fell by $1.22 to $64.40 per barrel, a decrease of 1.86% compared to the previous period. China's INE crude oil futures for the 2512 contract fell by 2.0 to 466.4 yuan per barrel, with a night session drop of 8.3 to 458.1 yuan per barrel.

2 PTA marketSteady center of gravity,BDO MarketInterval fluctuation 。

3、 The equipment is functioning normally for production.

Core Logic: The expectation of strong support from raw materials Operators are adopting a wait-and-see attitude, leading to fluctuations within the PBT market range.

Section 2: Price List

Product	Region	2025/10/27	2025/10/28	Change in Value
	NYMEX	61.31	60.15	-1.16
	ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures	65.62	64.4	-1.22
BDO		7300-7500	7300-7500	0/ 0
PTA		4490	4535	45
PBT		7400-7700	7400-7700	0/ 0
Note: 1 、 PTA Using the national standard premium spot exchange self-pickup price. BDO For the delivered price of scattered water acceptance, PBT Select medium to low viscosity pure resin chips for acceptance and delivery pricing. 2 Crude oil unit is in USD / Bucket, others 3 The variety is priced in RMB, unit: yuan. / ton. 3 The rise and fall value is the month-on-month change value.

3. Market Outlook

It is expected that today's PBT market will continue to operate in a wait-and-see mode.Material Surface PTASupply and demand remain tightly balanced with solid support from the demand side. However, with new installations being tested, there is a strong expectation of weakening supply and demand. Overnight crude oil weakened, reducing cost support, leading to a slight short-term decline in the PTA market. ；BDO Under the pressure of losses, suppliers mainly focus on supporting the market, limiting trading space. End-users follow up with just-in-time contract demands, and spot purchases are sluggish due to cost pressures. Those holding goods have a generally conservative trading mindset, and real transactions are negotiated based on market conditions, resulting in an overall dull and stable market situation. Cost-oriented policy guidance Support The market sentiment for PBT is such that some manufacturers have issued price increase notices, and the market is primarily in a wait-and-see atmosphere. ， Longzhong expects the price of low to medium viscosity PBT resin in the East China market today to be around 7,400-7,700 yuan/ton.

4. Data Calendar

Data	Publication Date	Previous Data	Current Trend Forecast
PBT Weekly Output	Thursday 5:00 PM	2.37 Ten thousand Ton	↘
PBT Weekly Profit	Thursday 5:00 PM	-317 Yuan/ton	↘
PBT Weekly Start	Thursday 5:00 PM	55.69 %	↘
1 Consider significant fluctuations as large, highlighting data dimensions with price changes exceeding 3%.
2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise and fall range within 0-3%.

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[pbt morning update] expect today's pbt market to continue observing

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