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[PBT Daily Review] Few Fundamental Changes at the Start of the Week, PBT Market Observes and Waits

Longzhong 2025-09-22 17:43:44

1 Today's Summary

This week's PBT manufacturers' quotes remain stable overall.

There are fewer PBT unit maintenance activities this week.

The production of PBT this period is 22,600 tons, a decrease of 1,200 tons from the previous period, with a decline of 5.04%. The capacity utilization rate is 53.14%, down 2.97% from the previous period. This week, the average gross profit of domestic PBT is -308 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1 yuan/ton compared to the previous week.

2 Spot Overview

Based on the East China region, the mainstream price of medium and low viscosity PBT resin today is between 7,650 and 7,900 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous working day. Today, the PBT market is operating with a wait-and-see attitude, the PTA market is under downward pressure, and the BDO market is fluctuating within a range. At the beginning of the week, there were no significant changes in the PBT market fundamentals, and transactions remained steady with just essential demand following, while the focus of negotiations temporarily stabilized. According to Longzhong Information, the price of low to medium viscosity PBT pure resin in the East China market is 7650-7900 yuan/ton.

3 Production dynamics

Within the week Fujian Meizhou Bay (Fujian Haiquan) PBT plant maintenance. The domestic PBT supply volume has decreased. The PBT production for this period is 22,600 tons, a decrease of 1,200 tons compared to the previous period, with a decline rate of 5.04%. The capacity utilization rate is 53.14%, down 2.97% from the previous period. The average domestic PBT gross profit this week is -308 RMB/ton, down 1 RMB/ton compared to the previous week.

Figure 2: Trend of domestic PBT capacity utilization rate in 2025

Figure 3 2025 Domestic PBT Profit and Price Comparison Chart (Yuan/Ton)

 

 

Data Source: Longzhong Information

Data Source: Longzhong Information

4 Price Prediction

The PBT market is expected to continue to remain in a wait-and-see mode. On the raw material side, the traditional peak season for PTA terminals is not performing well, with maintenance units restarting, leading to a weakened supply-demand balance sheet and an expectation of inventory accumulation. The overall commodity trend is sluggish, and the cost end is dragging down, lacking positive support for the market. In the short term, the PTA spot market may continue to be under pressure; BDOSome factories intend to reduce policies in October, but some remain stable month-on-month, increasing the wait-and-see mood among operators. Traders' willingness to operate is generally average, often reporting prices in the market, with the trading focus remaining stable and subdued.The raw material market is expected to remain weak, but the impact on the PBT market is relatively small. As the National Day holiday approaches, demand may improve. Therefore, the PBT market is expected to maintain a stable pattern in the short term. Longzhong anticipates that the price of medium and low viscosity PBT resin in the East China market will be around 7,650-7,900 yuan/ton tomorrow.

5 Related product information.

PTA Market: Today's PTA spot price is -40 to 4515. The September main port delivery 01 bid price is at a discount of 75-80, while the offer is at a discount of 80-85 with transactions being negotiated. The October main port delivery 01 bid price is at a discount of 50-65, with transactions around a discount of 65. Overall, market sentiment for the commodity is sluggish, with expectations of a reduction in both supply and demand. The absolute price has declined with costs during the day, and the spot basis remains relatively weak, resulting in overall light trading volume. (Unit: yuan/ton)

BDO Market: As of press time, the mainstream spot bulk water negotiations in the East China region are 7,300-7,500 yuan/ton, and barrel negotiations are 8,300-8,500 yuan/ton (payment upon delivery), remaining stable on a month-on-month basis. Today, the BDO market in East China is narrowly consolidating. At the beginning of the week, the market news is light, with both contraction and stabilization policies existing in October. Downstream follows up as needed, and the enthusiasm of holders to operate is average. The market remains quiet and stable, with attention on the implementation of actual orders.

6 Data Calendar

Table 2 Domestic PBT Data Overview (Unit: Tons, Yuan/Ton)

Data

Release Date

Last period data

The trend for this period is expected

PBT Capacity utilization rate

Thursday 5:00 PM

53.14 %

-

PBT Weekly Production

Thursday 5:00 PM

2.26 10,000 tons

-

PBT Weekly Profit

Thursday 5:00 PM

-308 yuan/ton

Data source: Longzhong Information

Note:

1 Consider fluctuations of ↑ and ↓ as significant, highlighting data dimensions where the price change exceeds 3%.

2 Considered as narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with a rise or fall within 0-3%.

 

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