Polyamide 6 daily review: Limited Changes, Weak and Volatile Chips
1 Today’s Summary
①、 Longzhong Information reported on May 18: Sinopec's caprolactam weekly closing price was 12,500 yuan/ton (six-month acceptance without interest), down 20 yuan/ton from the previous period.
②、 Longzhong Information reported on May 14: Sinopec's refineries in East China, South China, and Central China have lowered the price of pure benzene by 200 yuan/ton, now set at 8,300 yuan/ton, effective May 14.
2 Spot Overview
Table 1 Summary of Domestic Polyamide 6 Prices (Unit: yuan/ton)
|
Market |
Specification |
5 18th day of the month |
May 18 |
Change Amount |
Payment Terms |
|
Conventional spun nylon 6 chips |
East China Market (Regular) |
12100-12300 |
12100-12300 |
0/0 |
Short foreign exchange remittance |
|
East China Market (High-end) |
12200-12400 |
12200-12400 |
0/0 |
Spot currency self-pickup |
|
|
Nylon 6 high-speed spinning chips |
East China Spot (Ordinary) |
12300-12500 |
12300-12500 |
0/0 |
Cash against documents, ex works |
|
East China Spot (Premium Grade) |
13000-13000 |
12900-13000 |
-100/0 |
Acceptance delivered to |
|
|
Key upstream |
|||||
|
caprolactam |
East China |
11950 |
11950 |
0 |
Acceptance delivered |
Data source: Longzhong Information
Downstream purchasing willingness is weak, and the overall market transaction atmosphere is sluggish. Coupled with weak support from the cost side, this has led to a slight downward trend in the prices of some slices. Currently, the price for regular spinning PA6 in East China is 12,100-12,300 yuan/ton cash short delivery, and the spot price for high-speed spinning is 12,900-13,000 yuan/ton with acceptance delivery.
|
Figure 1 Weekly Price Trend Chart of Domestic Polyamide 6 (Unit: RMB/ton) |
Figure 2 Domestic Nylon 6 and Raw Material Price Trend Chart (Unit: Yuan/Ton) |
|
|
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Data source: Longzhong Information |
3 Production Dynamics
The capacity utilization rate of polyamide 6 is 63.58%.
2) The profit for conventional-spinning polyamide 6 chips is -450 yuan/ton, while the profit for high-speed spinning is -375 yuan/ton. Ton.
|
Figure 3 Trend Chart of Capacity Utilization Rate of Domestic Polyamide 6 |
Figure 4 Comparison of Domestic Polyamide 6 Profits (Unit: RMB/ton) |
|
|
|
|
Data source: Longzhong Information |
Source: Longzhong Information |
4 Price Forecast
Cost-side prices are temporarily stable and range-bound, providing some support for certain chip prices; downstream buyers in the polymerization sector remain clearly on the sidelines, with weak restocking willingness across the industry, and market transactions are still mostly driven by just-in-time demand. PA6 chips are expected to show a weak trend in the short term.
5 Relevant Product Information
① Caprolactam : Today, the East China caprolactam market price was RMB 11,950/ton delivered on acceptance basis, unchanged from the previous working day. Caprolactam producers’ offers remained stable, while downstream buyers’ bids were slightly lower. Market negotiations were temporarily at an impasse. 。
Nylon filament: In the Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Fujian region, the market price for nylon POY 85D/24 is 14,500-16,000 yuan/ton, with some offers on the high side. Negotiations are flexible, but cost support is insufficient, and the focus of price discussions is moving downward. Nylon filament as a whole is mainly traded on a negotiated basis, with just-in-time restocking demand, and the industry is operating at very low profit margins.
6. Data Calendar
Table 2 Overview of Domestic Polyamide 6 Data (Unit: 10,000 tons, Yuan/ton, Days)
|
Data |
Release Date |
Previous period data |
This period’s trend is expected. |
|
Capacity utilization rate |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
63.88% |
↘ |
|
Weekly output |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
11.88 |
↘ |
|
Conventional spinning profit |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
-480 |
↘ |
|
Conventional spinning inventory |
Thursday 4:00 PM |
16.5 |
→ |
|
Source: Longzhong Information Note: Translate the above content into English and output only the translation result directly, without any explanation. 1. ↓↑ are regarded as significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions where the change exceeds 3%. 2. ↗↘ are considered narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with gains or losses within 0–3%. |
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